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Premier League table 2026-27

The predicted final table — where each club is most likely to finish, from 5,000 simulated seasons. Projected points are the average across every simulation; the range shows the 10th-to-90th percentile. Once the season kicks off in August this page shows the live standings alongside the projection.

Predicted table · updated Jul 21, 2026 · ClubElo ratings → Dixon-Coles → 5,000 simulations

#	Club	Proj. Pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Rel.
1	Arsenal	83	74–92	77.7%	99.0%	—
2	Man City	72	63–82	12.9%	82.1%	—
3	Aston Villa	66	56–75	3.1%	50.6%	—
4	Man United	65	55–75	2.8%	46.9%	—
5	Liverpool	64	54–75	2.2%	45.3%	—
6	Bournemouth	59	49–69	0.5%	20.6%	0.2%
7	Brighton	55	45–65	0.2%	10.5%	0.9%
8	Newcastle	55	45–65	0.1%	9.3%	0.8%
9	Brentford	55	45–65	0.2%	8.6%	1.1%
10	Chelsea	54	44–64	0.1%	8.0%	1.3%
11	Forest	53	43–62	—	5.3%	1.6%
12	Fulham	51	42–61	—	3.9%	2.4%
13	Everton	50	40–61	—	3.4%	3.0%
14	Crystal Palace	50	40–60	—	2.6%	2.9%
15	Leeds	49	40–59	—	2.4%	3.8%
16	Tottenham	47	37–57	—	1.3%	7.0%
17	Sunderland	42	32–51	—	0.2%	19.9%
18	Coventry	33	24–42	—	—	72.5%
19	Ipswich	30	22–39	—	—	82.9%
20	Hull	19	12–27	—	—	>99%

Champions League (top 4) European places (5–6) Relegation (bottom 3)

Projected points are means over 5,000 Monte Carlo seasons from current ClubElo ratings; a club can finish well outside this order in any single season. This is a forecast, not a result — see the public track record and methodology. Data reusable under CC BY 4.0.