The Open ModelForecast saved

Tools › What-if season simulator

Try a different future

Make a team stronger.
See the season change.

Move a team-strength slider to represent a major signing, an injury problem or better form. The simulator then replays the season and updates each club's chance of finishing first.

What-if season simulator

Change a team's strength. Watch its season chance move.

Move a slider to make a team stronger or weaker. Every change replays 30,000 possible seasons.

Ready to begin0 / 30,0000%

Team strength controls

Strength 2063.8
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1970.9
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1921
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1915.3
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1910.8
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1872
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1842
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1837.5
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1836.6
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1831.1
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1822.2
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1813.1
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1803.8
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1803.4
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1797.4
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1777.3
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1735.9
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1661.5
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1640
-150Current strength+150
Strength 1532.9
-150Current strength+150

Chance of finishing first

30K seasons
  1. 01Arsenal0.0%current0.0%
  2. 02Man City0.0%current0.0%
  3. 03Aston Villa0.0%current0.0%
  4. 04Man United0.0%current0.0%
  5. 05Liverpool0.0%current0.0%
  6. 06Bournemouth0.0%current0.0%
  7. 07Brighton0.0%current0.0%
  8. 08Newcastle0.0%current0.0%
  9. 09Brentford0.0%current0.0%
  10. 10Chelsea0.0%current0.0%
  11. 11Forest0.0%current0.0%
  12. 12Fulham0.0%current0.0%
  13. 13Crystal Palace0.0%current0.0%
  14. 14Everton0.0%current0.0%
  15. 15Leeds0.0%current0.0%
  16. 16Tottenham0.0%current0.0%
  17. 17Sunderland0.0%current0.0%
  18. 18Coventry0.0%current0.0%
  19. 19Ipswich0.0%current0.0%
  20. 20Hull0.0%current0.0%

These changes are imaginary. The tool shows how a different strength rating would affect the season estimate.

These are imagined scenariosThey are not predictions about a real transfer or injuryHow to read the percentages ↗