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Sunderland

Premier League · forecast 17th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1735.9 · title — · top 4 0.2% · relegation 19.9% · expected points 42 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1418–1737 · 372 rating periods · source: ClubElo

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2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

A. Abdullahi

Attacker · #9 · 21y

M. AleksiÄ

Attacker · #11 · 20y

N. Angulo

Attacker · #10 · 22y

H. Diarra

Midfielder · #21 · 21y

Harrison Jones

Midfielder · #10 · 21y

M. Ellborg

Goalkeeper · #31 · 22y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Arsenal	2063.8	10.0%	21.3%	4.7%	0.69–2.09
Man City	1970.9	17.0%	25.1%	9.7%	0.93–1.86
Aston Villa	1921	21.5%	26.7%	13.2%	1.05–1.73
Man United	1915.3	22.0%	26.8%	13.6%	1.06–1.72
Liverpool	1910.8	22.4%	26.9%	14.0%	1.08–1.71
Bournemouth	1872	26.3%	27.7%	17.1%	1.17–1.61
Brighton	1842	29.4%	28.2%	19.7%	1.25–1.53
Newcastle	1837.5	29.9%	28.2%	20.2%	1.26–1.52
Brentford	1836.6	30.0%	28.2%	20.2%	1.26–1.52
Chelsea	1831.1	30.6%	28.3%	20.7%	1.27–1.51
Forest	1822.2	31.6%	28.4%	21.6%	1.30–1.48
Fulham	1813.1	32.6%	28.4%	22.4%	1.32–1.46
Crystal Palace	1803.8	33.6%	28.5%	23.3%	1.34–1.44
Everton	1803.4	33.6%	28.5%	23.4%	1.34–1.44
Leeds	1797.4	34.3%	28.5%	24.0%	1.36–1.42
Tottenham	1777.3	36.6%	28.5%	26.0%	1.41–1.37
Coventry	1661.5	50.3%	27.0%	38.7%	1.70–1.08
Ipswich	1640	52.9%	26.4%	41.2%	1.75–1.03
Hull	1532.9	65.6%	22.6%	54.0%	2.02–0.76

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →