Everton

Premier League · forecast 13th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1803.4 · title — · top 4 3.4% · relegation 3.0% · expected points 50 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1665–1836 · 738 rating periods · source: ClubElo

Next up

2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

T. Barry

Attacker · #11 · 23y

Beto

Attacker · #9 · 27y

T. Dibling

Attacker · #20 · 19y

C. Alcaraz

Midfielder · #24 · 23y

H. Armstrong

Midfielder · #45 · 18y

T. King

Goalkeeper · #31 · 30y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Arsenal	2063.8	14.9%	24.2%	8.1%	0.86–1.92
Man City	1970.9	23.1%	27.1%	14.5%	1.09–1.69
Aston Villa	1921	28.2%	28.0%	18.7%	1.22–1.56
Man United	1915.3	28.8%	28.1%	19.2%	1.23–1.55
Liverpool	1910.8	29.3%	28.2%	19.6%	1.24–1.54
Bournemouth	1872	33.5%	28.5%	23.3%	1.34–1.44
Brighton	1842	36.9%	28.5%	26.3%	1.42–1.37
Newcastle	1837.5	37.4%	28.5%	26.7%	1.43–1.35
Brentford	1836.6	37.5%	28.5%	26.8%	1.43–1.35
Chelsea	1831.1	38.2%	28.5%	27.4%	1.44–1.34
Forest	1822.2	39.2%	28.4%	28.3%	1.47–1.32
Fulham	1813.1	40.3%	28.3%	29.3%	1.49–1.29
Crystal Palace	1803.8	41.4%	28.3%	30.3%	1.51–1.27
Leeds	1797.4	42.1%	28.2%	31.0%	1.53–1.25
Tottenham	1777.3	44.5%	27.9%	33.2%	1.58–1.20
Sunderland	1735.9	49.5%	27.2%	37.9%	1.68–1.10
Coventry	1661.5	58.4%	25.0%	46.7%	1.87–0.91
Ipswich	1640	60.9%	24.2%	49.3%	1.92–0.86
Hull	1532.9	73.1%	19.3%	62.1%	2.19–0.59

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →