Coventry

Premier League · forecast 18th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1661.5 · title — · top 4 — · relegation 72.5% · expected points 33 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1352–1662 · 543 rating periods · source: ClubElo

Next up

2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

J. Markelo

Attacker · #24 · 22y

E. Mason-Clark

Attacker · #10 · 26y

B. Thomas-Asante

Attacker · #23 · 27y

J. Allen

Midfielder · #8 · 30y

J. Eccles

Midfielder · #28 · 25y

C. Rushworth

Goalkeeper · #19 · 24y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Arsenal	2063.8	5.8%	17.5%	2.4%	0.51–2.27
Man City	1970.9	11.2%	22.2%	5.5%	0.74–2.04
Aston Villa	1921	15.0%	24.2%	8.2%	0.86–1.92
Man United	1915.3	15.4%	24.5%	8.5%	0.88–1.90
Liverpool	1910.8	15.8%	24.6%	8.8%	0.89–1.89
Bournemouth	1872	19.1%	25.9%	11.3%	0.99–1.80
Brighton	1842	21.9%	26.8%	13.5%	1.06–1.72
Newcastle	1837.5	22.3%	26.9%	13.9%	1.07–1.71
Brentford	1836.6	22.4%	26.9%	13.9%	1.07–1.71
Chelsea	1831.1	22.9%	27.1%	14.4%	1.09–1.69
Forest	1822.2	23.8%	27.3%	15.1%	1.11–1.67
Fulham	1813.1	24.7%	27.4%	15.8%	1.13–1.65
Crystal Palace	1803.8	25.6%	27.6%	16.6%	1.16–1.62
Everton	1803.4	25.7%	27.6%	16.6%	1.16–1.62
Leeds	1797.4	26.3%	27.7%	17.1%	1.17–1.61
Tottenham	1777.3	28.4%	28.0%	18.9%	1.22–1.56
Sunderland	1735.9	32.9%	28.4%	22.7%	1.33–1.45
Ipswich	1640	43.9%	28.0%	32.7%	1.57–1.22
Hull	1532.9	56.8%	25.4%	45.1%	1.83–0.95

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →