Forest

Premier League · forecast 11th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1822.2 · title — · top 4 5.3% · relegation 1.6% · expected points 53 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1440–1843 · 711 rating periods · source: ClubElo

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2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

T. Awoniyi

Attacker · #9 · 28y

D. Bakwa

Attacker · #29 · 23y

Z. Blake

Attacker · #77 · 2025y

E. Anderson

Midfielder · #8 · 23y

N. Domínguez

Midfielder · #16 · 27y

A. Gunn

Goalkeeper · #18 · 29y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Arsenal	2063.8	16.4%	24.9%	9.3%	0.91–1.87
Man City	1970.9	25.0%	27.5%	16.0%	1.14–1.64
Aston Villa	1921	30.2%	28.2%	20.4%	1.27–1.52
Man United	1915.3	30.8%	28.3%	20.9%	1.28–1.50
Liverpool	1910.8	31.3%	28.3%	21.4%	1.29–1.49
Bournemouth	1872	35.6%	28.5%	25.1%	1.39–1.39
Brighton	1842	39.1%	28.4%	28.2%	1.46–1.32
Newcastle	1837.5	39.6%	28.4%	28.7%	1.47–1.31
Brentford	1836.6	39.7%	28.4%	28.8%	1.48–1.30
Chelsea	1831.1	40.4%	28.3%	29.4%	1.49–1.29
Fulham	1813.1	42.5%	28.2%	31.3%	1.54–1.25
Crystal Palace	1803.8	43.6%	28.0%	32.4%	1.56–1.22
Everton	1803.4	43.6%	28.0%	32.4%	1.56–1.22
Leeds	1797.4	44.3%	28.0%	33.1%	1.57–1.21
Tottenham	1777.3	46.7%	27.6%	35.3%	1.62–1.16
Sunderland	1735.9	51.7%	26.7%	40.1%	1.73–1.05
Coventry	1661.5	60.6%	24.3%	48.9%	1.91–0.87
Ipswich	1640	63.2%	23.4%	51.5%	1.97–0.81
Hull	1532.9	75.1%	18.4%	64.3%	2.24–0.55

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →