Brighton

Premier League · forecast 7th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1842 · title 0.2% · top 4 10.5% · relegation 0.9% · expected points 55 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1636–1866 · 748 rating periods · source: ClubElo

Next up

2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

C. Kostoulas

Attacker · #19 · 18y

S. March

Attacker · #7 · 31y

Y. Minteh

Attacker · #11 · 21y

Y. Ayari

Midfielder · #26 · 22y

C. Baleba

Midfielder · #17 · 21y

J. Steele

Goalkeeper · #23 · 35y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Arsenal	2063.8	18.1%	25.6%	10.6%	0.96–1.82
Man City	1970.9	27.0%	27.9%	17.7%	1.19–1.59
Aston Villa	1921	32.4%	28.4%	22.3%	1.32–1.47
Man United	1915.3	33.0%	28.4%	22.8%	1.33–1.45
Liverpool	1910.8	33.5%	28.5%	23.3%	1.34–1.44
Bournemouth	1872	37.9%	28.5%	27.2%	1.44–1.34
Newcastle	1837.5	41.9%	28.2%	30.8%	1.52–1.26
Brentford	1836.6	42.0%	28.2%	30.9%	1.53–1.26
Chelsea	1831.1	42.7%	28.1%	31.5%	1.54–1.24
Forest	1822.2	43.7%	28.0%	32.5%	1.56–1.22
Fulham	1813.1	44.8%	27.9%	33.5%	1.58–1.20
Crystal Palace	1803.8	45.9%	27.7%	34.6%	1.61–1.17
Everton	1803.4	46.0%	27.7%	34.6%	1.61–1.17
Leeds	1797.4	46.7%	27.6%	35.3%	1.62–1.16
Tottenham	1777.3	49.1%	27.2%	37.6%	1.67–1.11
Sunderland	1735.9	54.1%	26.2%	42.4%	1.78–1.00
Coventry	1661.5	63.0%	23.5%	51.3%	1.96–0.82
Ipswich	1640	65.5%	22.6%	53.9%	2.02–0.76
Hull	1532.9	77.1%	17.3%	66.6%	2.29–0.50

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →