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Brentford

Premier League · forecast 9th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1836.6 · title 0.2% · top 4 8.6% · relegation 1.1% · expected points 55 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1579–1861 · 753 rating periods · source: ClubElo

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2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

R. Donovan

Attacker · #45 · 19y

Kaye Iyowuna Furo

Attacker · #47 · 18y

R. Nelson

Attacker · #11 · 26y

Luka Bentt

Midfielder · #48 · 18y

M. Damsgaard

Midfielder · #24 · 25y

E. Balcombe

Goalkeeper · #31 · 26y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Arsenal	2063.8	17.7%	25.4%	10.2%	0.94–1.84
Man City	1970.9	26.5%	27.8%	17.3%	1.18–1.60
Aston Villa	1921	31.8%	28.4%	21.8%	1.30–1.48
Man United	1915.3	32.4%	28.4%	22.3%	1.32–1.47
Liverpool	1910.8	32.9%	28.4%	22.7%	1.33–1.45
Bournemouth	1872	37.3%	28.5%	26.6%	1.42–1.36
Brighton	1842	40.8%	28.3%	29.8%	1.50–1.28
Newcastle	1837.5	41.3%	28.3%	30.2%	1.51–1.27
Chelsea	1831.1	42.0%	28.2%	30.9%	1.53–1.26
Forest	1822.2	43.1%	28.1%	31.9%	1.55–1.23
Fulham	1813.1	44.2%	28.0%	32.9%	1.57–1.21
Crystal Palace	1803.8	45.3%	27.8%	34.0%	1.59–1.19
Everton	1803.4	45.3%	27.8%	34.0%	1.60–1.19
Leeds	1797.4	46.1%	27.7%	34.7%	1.61–1.17
Tottenham	1777.3	48.5%	27.3%	37.0%	1.66–1.12
Sunderland	1735.9	53.5%	26.3%	41.8%	1.76–1.02
Coventry	1661.5	62.3%	23.7%	50.7%	1.95–0.83
Ipswich	1640	64.8%	22.8%	53.3%	2.00–0.78
Hull	1532.9	76.6%	17.6%	65.9%	2.27–0.51

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →