Home › Premier League › Newcastle
Newcastle
Premier League · forecast 8th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1837.5 · title 0.1% · top 4 9.3% · relegation 0.8% · expected points 55 — 5,000 simulated seasons
In the news
headlines link out · sources credited
Next up
2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Tottenham
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
H. Barnes
A. Elanga
A. Gordon
A. Alabi
Bruno Guimarães
Aidan Harris
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Premier League table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 2063.8 | 17.7% | 25.4% | 10.3% | 0.95–1.83 |
| Man City | 1970.9 | 26.6% | 27.8% | 17.3% | 1.18–1.60 |
| Aston Villa | 1921 | 31.9% | 28.4% | 21.8% | 1.30–1.48 |
| Man United | 1915.3 | 32.5% | 28.4% | 22.4% | 1.32–1.46 |
| Liverpool | 1910.8 | 33.0% | 28.4% | 22.8% | 1.33–1.45 |
| Bournemouth | 1872 | 37.4% | 28.5% | 26.7% | 1.43–1.35 |
| Brighton | 1842 | 40.9% | 28.3% | 29.9% | 1.50–1.28 |
| Brentford | 1836.6 | 41.5% | 28.2% | 30.4% | 1.51–1.27 |
| Chelsea | 1831.1 | 42.2% | 28.2% | 31.0% | 1.53–1.25 |
| Forest | 1822.2 | 43.2% | 28.1% | 32.0% | 1.55–1.23 |
| Fulham | 1813.1 | 44.3% | 28.0% | 33.0% | 1.57–1.21 |
| Crystal Palace | 1803.8 | 45.4% | 27.8% | 34.1% | 1.60–1.18 |
| Everton | 1803.4 | 45.4% | 27.8% | 34.1% | 1.60–1.18 |
| Leeds | 1797.4 | 46.2% | 27.7% | 34.8% | 1.61–1.17 |
| Tottenham | 1777.3 | 48.6% | 27.3% | 37.1% | 1.66–1.12 |
| Sunderland | 1735.9 | 53.6% | 26.3% | 41.9% | 1.77–1.01 |
| Coventry | 1661.5 | 62.4% | 23.7% | 50.8% | 1.95–0.83 |
| Ipswich | 1640 | 64.9% | 22.8% | 53.4% | 2.01–0.78 |
| Hull | 1532.9 | 76.7% | 17.6% | 66.0% | 2.27–0.51 |
Arsenal
Man City
Aston Villa
Man United
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Forest
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
Leeds
Sunderland
Coventry
Ipswich
HullElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →