Man City

Premier League · forecast 2nd of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1970.9 · title 12.9% · top 4 82.1% · relegation — · expected points 72 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1913–2093 · 551 rating periods · source: ClubElo

Next up

2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

J. Doku

Attacker · #11 · 23y

E. Haaland

Attacker · #9 · 25y

Reigan Heskey

Attacker · #11 · 17y

R. Cherki

Midfielder · #10 · 22y

P. Foden

Midfielder · #47 · 25y

M. Bettinelli

Goalkeeper · #13 · 33y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Arsenal	2063.8	30.8%	28.3%	21.0%	1.28–1.50
Aston Villa	1921	47.3%	27.5%	35.9%	1.64–1.14
Man United	1915.3	48.0%	27.4%	36.5%	1.65–1.13
Liverpool	1910.8	48.6%	27.3%	37.0%	1.66–1.12
Bournemouth	1872	53.2%	26.4%	41.6%	1.76–1.02
Brighton	1842	56.8%	25.4%	45.1%	1.83–0.95
Newcastle	1837.5	57.4%	25.3%	45.7%	1.85–0.94
Brentford	1836.6	57.5%	25.3%	45.8%	1.85–0.93
Chelsea	1831.1	58.1%	25.1%	46.4%	1.86–0.92
Forest	1822.2	59.2%	24.7%	47.5%	1.88–0.90
Fulham	1813.1	60.3%	24.4%	48.6%	1.91–0.87
Crystal Palace	1803.8	61.4%	24.1%	49.7%	1.93–0.85
Everton	1803.4	61.4%	24.0%	49.8%	1.93–0.85
Leeds	1797.4	62.1%	23.8%	50.5%	1.95–0.84
Tottenham	1777.3	64.5%	23.0%	52.9%	2.00–0.78
Sunderland	1735.9	69.2%	21.1%	57.9%	2.10–0.68
Coventry	1661.5	77.2%	17.3%	66.6%	2.29–0.50
Ipswich	1640	79.3%	16.1%	69.0%	2.34–0.44
Hull	1532.9	86.1%	11.8%	80.3%	2.61–0.30

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →