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Bundesliga table 2026-27

The predicted final table — where each club is most likely to finish, from 5,000 simulated seasons. Projected points are the average across every simulation; the range shows the 10th-to-90th percentile. Once the season kicks off in August this page shows the live standings alongside the projection.

Predicted table · updated Jul 21, 2026 · ClubElo ratings → Dixon-Coles → 5,000 simulations

#	Club	Proj. Pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Rel.
1	Bayern	82	75–90	94.0%	>99%	—
2	Dortmund	65	56–75	3.5%	84.3%	—
3	Leverkusen	62	52–71	1.6%	70.5%	—
4	Stuttgart	57	48–67	0.4%	45.9%	—
5	RB Leipzig	57	48–67	0.3%	45.0%	—
6	Freiburg	53	44–62	0.2%	23.6%	0.3%
7	Hoffenheim	50	40–59	—	12.8%	1.3%
8	Mainz	47	37–56	—	6.3%	2.8%
9	Frankfurt	46	37–55	—	5.0%	3.8%
10	Gladbach	43	34–53	—	2.3%	7.0%
11	Augsburg	43	33–52	—	1.9%	8.1%
12	Union Berlin	40	31–50	—	0.9%	11.9%
13	Werder	39	30–48	—	0.6%	16.5%
14	Hamburg	39	30–48	—	0.6%	19.0%
15	Koeln	35	26–44	—	0.1%	35.5%
16	Paderborn	30	22–39	—	—	62.3%
17	Elversberg	30	22–39	—	—	64.6%
18	Schalke	30	21–38	—	—	66.7%

Champions League (top 4) European places (5–6) Relegation (bottom 3)

Projected points are means over 5,000 Monte Carlo seasons from current ClubElo ratings; a club can finish well outside this order in any single season. This is a forecast, not a result — see the public track record and methodology. Data reusable under CC BY 4.0.