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Gladbach

Bundesliga · forecast 10th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1640.8 · title — · top 4 2.3% · relegation 7.0% · expected points 43 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1598–1824 · 761 rating periods · source: ClubElo

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2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

F. Fleck

Attacker · #24 · 18y

R. Hack

Attacker · #25 · 27y

F. Honorat

Attacker · #9 · 29y

H. Bolin

Midfielder · #38 · 22y

J. Castrop

Midfielder · #17 · 22y

M. Nicolas

Goalkeeper · #33 · 28y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Bayern	2000.9	8.0%	19.7%	3.4%	0.61–2.17
Dortmund	1834.8	20.6%	26.4%	12.5%	1.03–1.75
Leverkusen	1804	23.6%	27.2%	14.9%	1.10–1.68
Stuttgart	1763.8	27.6%	27.9%	18.2%	1.21–1.58
RB Leipzig	1761.9	27.8%	28.0%	18.4%	1.21–1.57
Freiburg	1724.9	31.8%	28.4%	21.8%	1.30–1.48
Hoffenheim	1700.4	34.5%	28.5%	24.2%	1.36–1.42
Mainz	1671.9	37.8%	28.5%	27.0%	1.43–1.35
Frankfurt	1663.8	38.7%	28.4%	27.9%	1.46–1.33
Augsburg	1636.4	41.9%	28.2%	30.8%	1.52–1.26
Union Berlin	1619.4	43.9%	28.0%	32.7%	1.57–1.22
Werder	1606	45.5%	27.8%	34.2%	1.60–1.18
Hamburg	1602.1	46.0%	27.7%	34.6%	1.61–1.17
Koeln	1568.2	50.1%	27.0%	38.5%	1.69–1.09
Paderborn	1525.4	55.2%	25.9%	43.5%	1.80–0.98
Elversberg	1523.4	55.5%	25.8%	43.8%	1.81–0.98
Schalke	1519.7	55.9%	25.7%	44.2%	1.82–0.97

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →