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Elversberg
Bundesliga · forecast 17th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1523.4 · title — · top 4 — · relegation 64.6% · expected points 30 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model oddsThe squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
B. Conté

M. Feil

Mohammad Mahmoud

R. Adam

A. Condé

T. Boss
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Bundesliga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern | 2000.9 | 2.7% | 13.4% | 2.0% | 0.32–2.46 |
| Dortmund | 1834.8 | 11.1% | 22.1% | 5.4% | 0.73–2.05 |
| Leverkusen | 1804 | 13.3% | 23.4% | 7.0% | 0.81–1.97 |
| Stuttgart | 1763.8 | 16.5% | 25.0% | 9.4% | 0.91–1.87 |
| RB Leipzig | 1761.9 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 9.5% | 0.92–1.87 |
| Freiburg | 1724.9 | 19.9% | 26.2% | 12.0% | 1.01–1.77 |
| Hoffenheim | 1700.4 | 22.2% | 26.9% | 13.8% | 1.07–1.71 |
| Mainz | 1671.9 | 25.0% | 27.5% | 16.1% | 1.14–1.64 |
| Frankfurt | 1663.8 | 25.8% | 27.7% | 16.7% | 1.16–1.62 |
| Gladbach | 1640.8 | 28.2% | 28.0% | 18.7% | 1.22–1.56 |
| Augsburg | 1636.4 | 28.7% | 28.1% | 19.1% | 1.23–1.55 |
| Union Berlin | 1619.4 | 30.5% | 28.3% | 20.7% | 1.27–1.51 |
| Werder | 1606 | 32.0% | 28.4% | 21.9% | 1.31–1.48 |
| Hamburg | 1602.1 | 32.4% | 28.4% | 22.3% | 1.32–1.47 |
| Koeln | 1568.2 | 36.2% | 28.5% | 25.6% | 1.40–1.38 |
| Paderborn | 1525.4 | 41.2% | 28.3% | 30.1% | 1.51–1.27 |
| Schalke | 1519.7 | 41.8% | 28.2% | 30.7% | 1.52–1.26 |
Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →
