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Freiburg
Bundesliga · forecast 6th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1724.9 · title 0.2% · top 4 23.6% · relegation 0.3% · expected points 53 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
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2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Bundesliga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern | 2000.9 | 13.7% | 23.6% | 7.3% | 0.82–1.96 |
| Dortmund | 1834.8 | 29.0% | 28.1% | 19.4% | 1.24–1.54 |
| Leverkusen | 1804 | 32.4% | 28.4% | 22.3% | 1.31–1.47 |
| Stuttgart | 1763.8 | 36.9% | 28.5% | 26.2% | 1.42–1.37 |
| RB Leipzig | 1761.9 | 37.1% | 28.5% | 26.4% | 1.42–1.36 |
| Hoffenheim | 1700.4 | 44.3% | 28.0% | 33.0% | 1.57–1.21 |
| Mainz | 1671.9 | 47.7% | 27.5% | 36.2% | 1.65–1.14 |
| Frankfurt | 1663.8 | 48.7% | 27.3% | 37.2% | 1.67–1.12 |
| Gladbach | 1640.8 | 51.5% | 26.8% | 39.8% | 1.72–1.06 |
| Augsburg | 1636.4 | 52.0% | 26.6% | 40.3% | 1.73–1.05 |
| Union Berlin | 1619.4 | 54.0% | 26.2% | 42.3% | 1.78–1.01 |
| Werder | 1606 | 55.6% | 25.8% | 43.9% | 1.81–0.97 |
| Hamburg | 1602.1 | 56.1% | 25.6% | 44.4% | 1.82–0.96 |
| Koeln | 1568.2 | 60.2% | 24.4% | 48.5% | 1.90–0.88 |
| Paderborn | 1525.4 | 65.2% | 22.7% | 53.6% | 2.01–0.77 |
| Elversberg | 1523.4 | 65.4% | 22.6% | 53.9% | 2.02–0.77 |
| Schalke | 1519.7 | 65.8% | 22.5% | 54.3% | 2.03–0.76 |
Bayern
Dortmund
Leverkusen
Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim
Mainz
Frankfurt
Augsburg
Union Berlin
Hamburg
Koeln
Elversberg
SchalkeElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →