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Schalke

Bundesliga · forecast 18th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1519.7 · title — · top 4 — · relegation 66.7% · expected points 30 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1408–1708 · 542 rating periods · source: ClubElo

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2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

J. Adamu

Attacker · #9 · 24y

Z. Amoussou-Tchibara

Attacker · #47 · 19y

C. Gomis

Attacker · #7 · 25y

A. Aouchiche

Midfielder · #24 · 23y

J. Bachmann

Midfielder · #14 · 29y

L. Karius

Goalkeeper · #1 · 32y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Bayern	2000.9	2.6%	13.2%	2.0%	0.31–2.47
Dortmund	1834.8	10.9%	21.9%	5.3%	0.72–2.06
Leverkusen	1804	13.1%	23.3%	6.8%	0.80–1.98
Stuttgart	1763.8	16.2%	24.8%	9.1%	0.90–1.88
RB Leipzig	1761.9	16.4%	24.9%	9.3%	0.91–1.87
Freiburg	1724.9	19.6%	26.1%	11.7%	1.00–1.78
Hoffenheim	1700.4	21.9%	26.8%	13.5%	1.06–1.72
Mainz	1671.9	24.6%	27.4%	15.8%	1.13–1.65
Frankfurt	1663.8	25.5%	27.6%	16.4%	1.15–1.63
Gladbach	1640.8	27.8%	28.0%	18.4%	1.21–1.57
Augsburg	1636.4	28.3%	28.0%	18.8%	1.22–1.56
Union Berlin	1619.4	30.1%	28.2%	20.3%	1.26–1.52
Werder	1606	31.6%	28.4%	21.6%	1.30–1.48
Hamburg	1602.1	32.0%	28.4%	21.9%	1.31–1.47
Koeln	1568.2	35.8%	28.5%	25.3%	1.39–1.39
Paderborn	1525.4	40.7%	28.3%	29.7%	1.50–1.28
Elversberg	1523.4	41.0%	28.3%	29.9%	1.50–1.28

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →