Home › Bundesliga › Bayern

Bayern

Bundesliga · forecast 1st of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 2000.9 · title 94.0% · top 4 >99% · relegation — · expected points 82 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1887–2066 · 514 rating periods · source: ClubElo

Next up

2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

B. Assomo

Attacker · #33 · 16y

L. Díaz

Attacker · #14 · 28y

S. Gnabry

Attacker · #7 · 30y

T. Bischof

Midfielder · #20 · 20y

M. Cardozo

Midfielder · #49 · 17y

Jannis Bärtl

Goalkeeper · #35 · 19y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Dortmund	1834.8	61.3%	24.1%	49.6%	1.93–0.85
Leverkusen	1804	64.9%	22.8%	53.3%	2.00–0.78
Stuttgart	1763.8	69.4%	21.0%	58.1%	2.11–0.68
RB Leipzig	1761.9	69.6%	20.9%	58.3%	2.11–0.67
Freiburg	1724.9	73.7%	19.1%	62.7%	2.20–0.58
Hoffenheim	1700.4	76.3%	17.8%	65.6%	2.26–0.52
Mainz	1671.9	79.1%	16.2%	68.8%	2.33–0.45
Frankfurt	1663.8	79.9%	15.8%	69.7%	2.36–0.43
Gladbach	1640.8	82.1%	14.5%	72.2%	2.41–0.37
Augsburg	1636.4	82.5%	14.3%	72.7%	2.42–0.36
Union Berlin	1619.4	84.1%	13.3%	74.5%	2.47–0.32
Werder	1606	84.8%	12.8%	75.9%	2.50–0.30
Hamburg	1602.1	84.9%	12.7%	76.3%	2.51–0.30
Koeln	1568.2	85.9%	11.9%	79.7%	2.59–0.30
Paderborn	1525.4	87.1%	11.0%	83.8%	2.70–0.30
Elversberg	1523.4	87.1%	10.9%	83.9%	2.71–0.30
Schalke	1519.7	87.2%	10.8%	84.3%	2.72–0.30

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →