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RB Leipzig
Bundesliga · forecast 5th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1761.9 · title 0.3% · top 4 45.0% · relegation — · expected points 57 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Werder
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
J. Bakayoko
E. Banzuzi
Y. Diomande
R. Baku
C. Baumgartner
P. Gulácsi
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Bundesliga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern | 2000.9 | 16.6% | 25.0% | 9.5% | 0.92–1.87 |
| Dortmund | 1834.8 | 33.0% | 28.4% | 22.9% | 1.33–1.45 |
| Leverkusen | 1804 | 36.5% | 28.5% | 25.9% | 1.41–1.37 |
| Stuttgart | 1763.8 | 41.2% | 28.3% | 30.1% | 1.51–1.27 |
| Freiburg | 1724.9 | 45.8% | 27.8% | 34.4% | 1.60–1.18 |
| Hoffenheim | 1700.4 | 48.7% | 27.3% | 37.2% | 1.67–1.12 |
| Mainz | 1671.9 | 52.2% | 26.6% | 40.5% | 1.74–1.04 |
| Frankfurt | 1663.8 | 53.1% | 26.4% | 41.5% | 1.76–1.02 |
| Gladbach | 1640.8 | 55.9% | 25.7% | 44.2% | 1.82–0.97 |
| Augsburg | 1636.4 | 56.4% | 25.5% | 44.7% | 1.83–0.96 |
| Union Berlin | 1619.4 | 58.5% | 25.0% | 46.8% | 1.87–0.91 |
| Werder | 1606 | 60.1% | 24.5% | 48.4% | 1.90–0.88 |
| Hamburg | 1602.1 | 60.5% | 24.3% | 48.8% | 1.91–0.87 |
| Koeln | 1568.2 | 64.5% | 23.0% | 52.9% | 2.00–0.78 |
| Paderborn | 1525.4 | 69.4% | 21.0% | 58.1% | 2.10–0.68 |
| Elversberg | 1523.4 | 69.6% | 20.9% | 58.3% | 2.11–0.67 |
| Schalke | 1519.7 | 70.0% | 20.7% | 58.7% | 2.12–0.66 |
Bayern
Dortmund
Leverkusen
Stuttgart
Freiburg
Hoffenheim
Mainz
Frankfurt
Augsburg
Union Berlin
Koeln
Paderborn
Elversberg
SchalkeElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →