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Dortmund
Bundesliga · forecast 2nd of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1834.8 · title 3.5% · top 4 84.3% · relegation — · expected points 65 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Hoffenheim
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2026-27 squad · API-Football
K. Adeyemi
M. Albert
M. Beier
J. Bellingham
J. Brandt
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2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Bundesliga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern | 2000.9 | 23.3% | 27.1% | 14.6% | 1.10–1.68 |
| Leverkusen | 1804 | 45.1% | 27.9% | 33.7% | 1.59–1.19 |
| Stuttgart | 1763.8 | 49.9% | 27.1% | 38.3% | 1.69–1.09 |
| RB Leipzig | 1761.9 | 50.1% | 27.0% | 38.5% | 1.69–1.09 |
| Freiburg | 1724.9 | 54.6% | 26.0% | 42.9% | 1.79–0.99 |
| Hoffenheim | 1700.4 | 57.5% | 25.2% | 45.8% | 1.85–0.93 |
| Mainz | 1671.9 | 60.9% | 24.2% | 49.2% | 1.92–0.86 |
| Frankfurt | 1663.8 | 61.8% | 23.9% | 50.2% | 1.94–0.84 |
| Gladbach | 1640.8 | 64.5% | 22.9% | 53.0% | 2.00–0.78 |
| Augsburg | 1636.4 | 65.0% | 22.8% | 53.5% | 2.01–0.77 |
| Union Berlin | 1619.4 | 67.0% | 22.0% | 55.5% | 2.05–0.73 |
| Werder | 1606 | 68.5% | 21.4% | 57.1% | 2.08–0.70 |
| Hamburg | 1602.1 | 68.9% | 21.2% | 57.6% | 2.09–0.69 |
| Koeln | 1568.2 | 72.7% | 19.5% | 61.6% | 2.18–0.60 |
| Paderborn | 1525.4 | 77.2% | 17.3% | 66.6% | 2.29–0.50 |
| Elversberg | 1523.4 | 77.4% | 17.2% | 66.8% | 2.29–0.49 |
| Schalke | 1519.7 | 77.7% | 17.0% | 67.2% | 2.30–0.48 |
Bayern
Leverkusen
Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
Freiburg
Mainz
Frankfurt
Gladbach
Augsburg
Union Berlin
Werder
Koeln
Elversberg
SchalkeElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →