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Leverkusen

Bundesliga · forecast 3rd of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1804 · title 1.6% · top 4 70.5% · relegation — · expected points 62 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1714–1950 · 638 rating periods · source: ClubElo

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2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

E. Ben Seghir

Attacker · #17 · 20y

Christian Kofane

Attacker · #35 · 19y

E. C. Owen

Attacker · #47 · 18y

R. Andrich

Midfielder · #8 · 31y

M. Culbreath

Midfielder · #42 · 18y

J. Blaswich

Goalkeeper · #28 · 34y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Bayern	2000.9	20.4%	26.3%	12.3%	1.02–1.76
Dortmund	1834.8	37.8%	28.5%	27.1%	1.44–1.35
Stuttgart	1763.8	46.2%	27.7%	34.8%	1.61–1.17
RB Leipzig	1761.9	46.4%	27.7%	35.0%	1.62–1.16
Freiburg	1724.9	50.9%	26.9%	39.2%	1.71–1.07
Hoffenheim	1700.4	53.8%	26.2%	42.1%	1.77–1.01
Mainz	1671.9	57.2%	25.3%	45.5%	1.84–0.94
Frankfurt	1663.8	58.2%	25.0%	46.5%	1.86–0.92
Gladbach	1640.8	60.9%	24.2%	49.2%	1.92–0.86
Augsburg	1636.4	61.4%	24.0%	49.8%	1.93–0.85
Union Berlin	1619.4	63.4%	23.3%	51.8%	1.97–0.81
Werder	1606	65.0%	22.8%	53.4%	2.01–0.77
Hamburg	1602.1	65.4%	22.6%	53.9%	2.02–0.76
Koeln	1568.2	69.3%	21.1%	58.0%	2.10–0.68
Paderborn	1525.4	74.0%	18.9%	63.0%	2.21–0.57
Elversberg	1523.4	74.2%	18.8%	63.3%	2.21–0.57
Schalke	1519.7	74.6%	18.6%	63.7%	2.22–0.56

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →