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Ligue 1 table 2026-27

The predicted final table — where each club is most likely to finish, from 5,000 simulated seasons. Projected points are the average across every simulation; the range shows the 10th-to-90th percentile. Once the season kicks off in August this page shows the live standings alongside the projection.

Predicted table · updated Jul 21, 2026 · ClubElo ratings → Dixon-Coles → 5,000 simulations

#ClubProj. PtsRangeTitleTop 4Rel.
1Paris SG81738897.2%>99%
2Lens5950681.0%63.6%
3Lille5647660.7%48.4%0.2%
4Lyon5546640.4%40.7%0.3%
5Monaco5344630.2%31.8%0.5%
6Marseille5344630.2%32.1%0.4%
7Rennes5344630.2%32.1%0.6%
8Strasbourg5243620.2%28.0%0.6%
9Toulouse4636557.7%5.3%
10Lorient4435534.9%6.7%
11Paris FC4333523.4%10.2%
12Auxerre4233523.1%11.0%
13Brest4233512.6%11.8%
14Nice3728460.7%28.1%
15Le Havre3728460.5%30.2%
16Angers3425430.1%48.6%
17Troyes31224065.9%
18Le Mans28203679.8%
Champions League (top 4) European places (5–6) Relegation (bottom 3)

Projected points are means over 5,000 Monte Carlo seasons from current ClubElo ratings; a club can finish well outside this order in any single season. This is a forecast, not a result — see the public track record and methodology. Data reusable under CC BY 4.0.