Le Havre
Ligue 1 · forecast 15th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1580.1 · title — · top 4 0.5% · relegation 30.2% · expected points 37 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Lyon
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
Yanis Beau Djellel
S. Boufal
G. Kyeremeh
Thierno Bah
A. Diabate
Paul Argney
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Ligue 1 table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG | 1967.9 | 6.5% | 18.3% | 2.4% | 0.54–2.24 |
| Lens | 1767 | 21.3% | 26.6% | 13.0% | 1.05–1.74 |
| Lille | 1743.7 | 23.5% | 27.2% | 14.8% | 1.10–1.68 |
| Lyon | 1731.6 | 24.7% | 27.4% | 15.8% | 1.13–1.65 |
| Monaco | 1717.5 | 26.1% | 27.7% | 17.0% | 1.17–1.61 |
| Marseille | 1716.7 | 26.2% | 27.7% | 17.1% | 1.17–1.61 |
| Rennes | 1716.1 | 26.3% | 27.7% | 17.1% | 1.17–1.61 |
| Strasbourg | 1710.8 | 26.8% | 27.8% | 17.6% | 1.19–1.60 |
| Toulouse | 1652.3 | 33.1% | 28.4% | 22.9% | 1.33–1.45 |
| Lorient | 1639.1 | 34.6% | 28.5% | 24.2% | 1.36–1.42 |
| Paris FC | 1629.3 | 35.7% | 28.5% | 25.2% | 1.39–1.39 |
| Auxerre | 1624.1 | 36.3% | 28.5% | 25.7% | 1.40–1.38 |
| Brest | 1620.8 | 36.7% | 28.5% | 26.1% | 1.41–1.37 |
| Nice | 1582.4 | 41.1% | 28.3% | 30.1% | 1.51–1.27 |
| Angers | 1547.5 | 45.3% | 27.8% | 33.9% | 1.59–1.19 |
| Troyes | 1521.1 | 48.4% | 27.3% | 36.9% | 1.66–1.12 |
| Le Mans | 1492.4 | 51.9% | 26.7% | 40.3% | 1.73–1.05 |
Paris SG
Lens
Lille
Marseille
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient
Paris FC
Auxerre
Nice
Angers
Troyes
Le MansElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →