Lille
Ligue 1 · forecast 3rd of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1743.7 · title 0.7% · top 4 48.4% · relegation 0.2% · expected points 56 — 5,000 simulated seasons
Next up
2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Angers
ToulouseThe squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
M. Broholm
Félix Correia
S. Diaoune
B. André
L. Baret
A. Bodart
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Ligue 1 table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG | 1967.9 | 17.9% | 25.5% | 10.4% | 0.95–1.83 |
| Lens | 1767 | 38.7% | 28.4% | 27.9% | 1.45–1.33 |
| Lyon | 1731.6 | 42.8% | 28.1% | 31.7% | 1.54–1.24 |
| Monaco | 1717.5 | 44.5% | 27.9% | 33.2% | 1.58–1.20 |
| Marseille | 1716.7 | 44.6% | 27.9% | 33.3% | 1.58–1.20 |
| Rennes | 1716.1 | 44.7% | 27.9% | 33.4% | 1.58–1.20 |
| Strasbourg | 1710.8 | 45.3% | 27.8% | 34.0% | 1.59–1.19 |
| Toulouse | 1652.3 | 52.3% | 26.6% | 40.7% | 1.74–1.04 |
| Lorient | 1639.1 | 53.9% | 26.2% | 42.2% | 1.77–1.01 |
| Paris FC | 1629.3 | 55.1% | 25.9% | 43.4% | 1.80–0.98 |
| Auxerre | 1624.1 | 55.7% | 25.7% | 44.0% | 1.81–0.97 |
| Brest | 1620.8 | 56.1% | 25.6% | 44.4% | 1.82–0.96 |
| Nice | 1582.4 | 60.7% | 24.3% | 49.0% | 1.92–0.87 |
| Le Havre | 1580.1 | 61.0% | 24.2% | 49.3% | 1.92–0.86 |
| Angers | 1547.5 | 64.8% | 22.9% | 53.2% | 2.00–0.78 |
| Troyes | 1521.1 | 67.8% | 21.7% | 56.4% | 2.07–0.71 |
| Le Mans | 1492.4 | 71.0% | 20.3% | 59.8% | 2.14–0.64 |
Lens
Lyon
Monaco
Marseille
Rennes
Strasbourg
Lorient
Paris FC
Auxerre
Brest
Nice
Le Havre
Troyes
Le MansElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →