Brest
Ligue 1 · forecast 13th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1620.8 · title — · top 4 2.6% · relegation 11.8% · expected points 42 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Ligue 1 table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG | 1967.9 | 8.8% | 20.4% | 3.9% | 0.64–2.14 |
| Lens | 1767 | 25.3% | 27.6% | 16.3% | 1.15–1.63 |
| Lille | 1743.7 | 27.6% | 27.9% | 18.2% | 1.21–1.58 |
| Lyon | 1731.6 | 28.9% | 28.1% | 19.3% | 1.24–1.55 |
| Monaco | 1717.5 | 30.4% | 28.3% | 20.6% | 1.27–1.51 |
| Marseille | 1716.7 | 30.5% | 28.3% | 20.7% | 1.27–1.51 |
| Rennes | 1716.1 | 30.6% | 28.3% | 20.7% | 1.27–1.51 |
| Strasbourg | 1710.8 | 31.2% | 28.3% | 21.2% | 1.29–1.49 |
| Toulouse | 1652.3 | 37.7% | 28.5% | 27.0% | 1.43–1.35 |
| Lorient | 1639.1 | 39.3% | 28.4% | 28.4% | 1.47–1.31 |
| Paris FC | 1629.3 | 40.4% | 28.3% | 29.4% | 1.49–1.29 |
| Auxerre | 1624.1 | 41.0% | 28.3% | 30.0% | 1.50–1.28 |
| Nice | 1582.4 | 46.0% | 27.7% | 34.6% | 1.61–1.17 |
| Le Havre | 1580.1 | 46.2% | 27.7% | 34.8% | 1.61–1.17 |
| Angers | 1547.5 | 50.2% | 27.0% | 38.6% | 1.70–1.09 |
| Troyes | 1521.1 | 53.3% | 26.3% | 41.7% | 1.76–1.02 |
| Le Mans | 1492.4 | 56.8% | 25.5% | 45.1% | 1.83–0.95 |
Paris SG
Lens
Lille
Lyon
Monaco
Marseille
Rennes
Strasbourg
Lorient
Paris FC
Auxerre
Nice
Angers
TroyesElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →