Le Mans
Ligue 1 · forecast 18th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1492.4 · title — · top 4 — · relegation 79.8% · expected points 28 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Rennes
NiceThe squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
E. Colas
D. Guèye
B. Guillaume
A. Bourabaa
Lucas Bretelle
Augustin Delbecque
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Ligue 1 table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG | 1967.9 | 2.7% | 13.5% | 2.0% | 0.32–2.46 |
| Lens | 1767 | 13.8% | 23.7% | 7.3% | 0.83–1.96 |
| Lille | 1743.7 | 15.6% | 24.6% | 8.7% | 0.88–1.90 |
| Lyon | 1731.6 | 16.6% | 25.0% | 9.4% | 0.91–1.87 |
| Monaco | 1717.5 | 17.8% | 25.5% | 10.4% | 0.95–1.83 |
| Marseille | 1716.7 | 17.9% | 25.5% | 10.4% | 0.95–1.83 |
| Rennes | 1716.1 | 18.0% | 25.5% | 10.4% | 0.95–1.83 |
| Strasbourg | 1710.8 | 18.4% | 25.7% | 10.8% | 0.97–1.81 |
| Toulouse | 1652.3 | 23.9% | 27.3% | 15.1% | 1.11–1.67 |
| Lorient | 1639.1 | 25.2% | 27.5% | 16.2% | 1.15–1.64 |
| Paris FC | 1629.3 | 26.2% | 27.7% | 17.0% | 1.17–1.61 |
| Auxerre | 1624.1 | 26.7% | 27.8% | 17.5% | 1.18–1.60 |
| Brest | 1620.8 | 27.1% | 27.9% | 17.8% | 1.19–1.59 |
| Nice | 1582.4 | 31.2% | 28.3% | 21.2% | 1.29–1.49 |
| Le Havre | 1580.1 | 31.4% | 28.3% | 21.4% | 1.29–1.49 |
| Angers | 1547.5 | 35.0% | 28.5% | 24.6% | 1.37–1.41 |
| Troyes | 1521.1 | 38.1% | 28.5% | 27.3% | 1.44–1.34 |
Paris SG
Lens
Lille
Lyon
Monaco
Marseille
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient
Paris FC
Auxerre
Le Havre
Angers
TroyesElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →