Troyes
Ligue 1 · forecast 17th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1521.1 · title — · top 4 — · relegation 65.9% · expected points 31 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Lorient
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
T. Bentayeb
M. Detourbet
K. Diawara
M. Adeline
X. Chavalerin
Z. Boucher
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Ligue 1 table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG | 1967.9 | 3.8% | 15.1% | 2.1% | 0.40–2.39 |
| Lens | 1767 | 16.1% | 24.8% | 9.0% | 0.90–1.88 |
| Lille | 1743.7 | 18.1% | 25.6% | 10.5% | 0.96–1.83 |
| Lyon | 1731.6 | 19.1% | 25.9% | 11.3% | 0.99–1.80 |
| Monaco | 1717.5 | 20.4% | 26.4% | 12.3% | 1.02–1.76 |
| Marseille | 1716.7 | 20.5% | 26.4% | 12.4% | 1.02–1.76 |
| Rennes | 1716.1 | 20.5% | 26.4% | 12.5% | 1.03–1.76 |
| Strasbourg | 1710.8 | 21.0% | 26.5% | 12.8% | 1.04–1.74 |
| Toulouse | 1652.3 | 26.8% | 27.8% | 17.5% | 1.18–1.60 |
| Lorient | 1639.1 | 28.2% | 28.0% | 18.7% | 1.22–1.56 |
| Paris FC | 1629.3 | 29.2% | 28.1% | 19.6% | 1.24–1.54 |
| Auxerre | 1624.1 | 29.7% | 28.2% | 20.0% | 1.26–1.53 |
| Brest | 1620.8 | 30.1% | 28.2% | 20.3% | 1.26–1.52 |
| Nice | 1582.4 | 34.3% | 28.5% | 24.0% | 1.36–1.42 |
| Le Havre | 1580.1 | 34.6% | 28.5% | 24.2% | 1.36–1.42 |
| Angers | 1547.5 | 38.3% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 1.45–1.33 |
| Le Mans | 1492.4 | 44.8% | 27.9% | 33.5% | 1.58–1.20 |
Paris SG
Lens
Lille
Lyon
Monaco
Marseille
Rennes
Toulouse
Auxerre
Brest
Nice
Le Havre
Angers
Le MansElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →