Nice
Ligue 1 · forecast 14th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1582.4 · title — · top 4 0.7% · relegation 28.1% · expected points 37 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Paris FC
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
Kéfren Ali
Enguerrand Bouard
K. Boudache
S. Abdul Samed
G. Bernardeau
T. Bruyère
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Ligue 1 table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG | 1967.9 | 6.6% | 18.4% | 2.5% | 0.55–2.23 |
| Lens | 1767 | 21.5% | 26.7% | 13.2% | 1.05–1.73 |
| Lille | 1743.7 | 23.7% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 1.11–1.67 |
| Lyon | 1731.6 | 24.9% | 27.5% | 16.0% | 1.14–1.64 |
| Monaco | 1717.5 | 26.4% | 27.8% | 17.2% | 1.17–1.61 |
| Marseille | 1716.7 | 26.5% | 27.8% | 17.3% | 1.18–1.60 |
| Rennes | 1716.1 | 26.5% | 27.8% | 17.3% | 1.18–1.60 |
| Strasbourg | 1710.8 | 27.1% | 27.9% | 17.8% | 1.19–1.59 |
| Toulouse | 1652.3 | 33.4% | 28.5% | 23.1% | 1.34–1.44 |
| Lorient | 1639.1 | 34.9% | 28.5% | 24.4% | 1.37–1.41 |
| Paris FC | 1629.3 | 36.0% | 28.5% | 25.4% | 1.40–1.39 |
| Auxerre | 1624.1 | 36.6% | 28.5% | 26.0% | 1.41–1.37 |
| Brest | 1620.8 | 36.9% | 28.5% | 26.3% | 1.42–1.36 |
| Le Havre | 1580.1 | 41.7% | 28.2% | 30.6% | 1.52–1.26 |
| Angers | 1547.5 | 45.5% | 27.8% | 34.2% | 1.60–1.18 |
| Troyes | 1521.1 | 48.7% | 27.3% | 37.2% | 1.67–1.12 |
| Le Mans | 1492.4 | 52.2% | 26.6% | 40.5% | 1.74–1.04 |
Paris SG
Lens
Lille
Lyon
Monaco
Marseille
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Auxerre
Brest
Le Havre
Angers
TroyesElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →