Rennes
Ligue 1 · forecast 7th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1716.1 · title 0.2% · top 4 32.1% · relegation 0.6% · expected points 53 — 5,000 simulated seasons
Next up
2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Paris SG
AngersThe squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
L. Blas
H. Do Marcolino
B. Embolo
M. Camara
D. Cissé
Ayoube Akabou
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Ligue 1 table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG | 1967.9 | 15.6% | 24.5% | 8.7% | 0.88–1.90 |
| Lens | 1767 | 35.5% | 28.5% | 25.0% | 1.39–1.40 |
| Lille | 1743.7 | 38.2% | 28.5% | 27.4% | 1.44–1.34 |
| Lyon | 1731.6 | 39.6% | 28.4% | 28.7% | 1.47–1.31 |
| Monaco | 1717.5 | 41.2% | 28.3% | 30.2% | 1.51–1.27 |
| Marseille | 1716.7 | 41.3% | 28.3% | 30.3% | 1.51–1.27 |
| Strasbourg | 1710.8 | 42.0% | 28.2% | 30.9% | 1.53–1.26 |
| Toulouse | 1652.3 | 49.0% | 27.2% | 37.5% | 1.67–1.11 |
| Lorient | 1639.1 | 50.6% | 26.9% | 39.0% | 1.71–1.08 |
| Paris FC | 1629.3 | 51.8% | 26.7% | 40.1% | 1.73–1.05 |
| Auxerre | 1624.1 | 52.4% | 26.5% | 40.8% | 1.74–1.04 |
| Brest | 1620.8 | 52.8% | 26.5% | 41.1% | 1.75–1.03 |
| Nice | 1582.4 | 57.4% | 25.3% | 45.7% | 1.85–0.93 |
| Le Havre | 1580.1 | 57.7% | 25.2% | 46.0% | 1.85–0.93 |
| Angers | 1547.5 | 61.6% | 24.0% | 49.9% | 1.93–0.85 |
| Troyes | 1521.1 | 64.6% | 22.9% | 53.1% | 2.00–0.78 |
| Le Mans | 1492.4 | 67.9% | 21.6% | 56.5% | 2.07–0.71 |
Lens
Lille
Lyon
Monaco
Marseille
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient
Paris FC
Auxerre
Brest
Nice
Le Havre
TroyesElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →