Paris FC
Ligue 1 · forecast 11th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1629.3 · title — · top 4 3.4% · relegation 10.2% · expected points 43 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Ligue 1 table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG | 1967.9 | 9.3% | 20.8% | 4.2% | 0.67–2.12 |
| Lens | 1767 | 26.1% | 27.7% | 17.0% | 1.17–1.61 |
| Lille | 1743.7 | 28.5% | 28.1% | 19.0% | 1.23–1.55 |
| Lyon | 1731.6 | 29.8% | 28.2% | 20.1% | 1.26–1.52 |
| Monaco | 1717.5 | 31.4% | 28.3% | 21.4% | 1.29–1.49 |
| Marseille | 1716.7 | 31.4% | 28.3% | 21.5% | 1.29–1.49 |
| Rennes | 1716.1 | 31.5% | 28.3% | 21.5% | 1.30–1.49 |
| Strasbourg | 1710.8 | 32.1% | 28.4% | 22.0% | 1.31–1.47 |
| Toulouse | 1652.3 | 38.7% | 28.4% | 27.9% | 1.46–1.33 |
| Lorient | 1639.1 | 40.3% | 28.3% | 29.3% | 1.49–1.29 |
| Auxerre | 1624.1 | 42.0% | 28.2% | 30.9% | 1.53–1.26 |
| Brest | 1620.8 | 42.4% | 28.2% | 31.3% | 1.53–1.25 |
| Nice | 1582.4 | 47.0% | 27.6% | 35.5% | 1.63–1.15 |
| Le Havre | 1580.1 | 47.3% | 27.5% | 35.8% | 1.64–1.15 |
| Angers | 1547.5 | 51.2% | 26.8% | 39.6% | 1.72–1.06 |
| Troyes | 1521.1 | 54.4% | 26.1% | 42.7% | 1.78–1.00 |
| Le Mans | 1492.4 | 57.8% | 25.2% | 46.1% | 1.85–0.93 |
Paris SG
Lens
Lille
Lyon
Monaco
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient
Auxerre
Brest
Le Havre
Angers
Le MansElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →