Auxerre
Ligue 1 · forecast 12th of 18 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1624.1 · title — · top 4 3.1% · relegation 11.0% · expected points 42 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model oddsThe squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
J. Casimir

Mamoudou Cissokho

L. Coulibaly

N. Ahamada

K. Danois

T. De Percin
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Ligue 1 table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG | 1967.9 | 9.0% | 20.5% | 4.0% | 0.65–2.13 |
| Lens | 1767 | 25.6% | 27.6% | 16.5% | 1.16–1.63 |
| Lille | 1743.7 | 28.0% | 28.0% | 18.5% | 1.21–1.57 |
| Lyon | 1731.6 | 29.3% | 28.1% | 19.6% | 1.24–1.54 |
| Monaco | 1717.5 | 30.8% | 28.3% | 20.9% | 1.28–1.50 |
| Marseille | 1716.7 | 30.9% | 28.3% | 21.0% | 1.28–1.50 |
| Rennes | 1716.1 | 30.9% | 28.3% | 21.0% | 1.28–1.50 |
| Strasbourg | 1710.8 | 31.5% | 28.4% | 21.5% | 1.30–1.49 |
| Toulouse | 1652.3 | 38.1% | 28.5% | 27.4% | 1.44–1.34 |
| Lorient | 1639.1 | 39.6% | 28.4% | 28.7% | 1.48–1.31 |
| Paris FC | 1629.3 | 40.8% | 28.3% | 29.8% | 1.50–1.28 |
| Brest | 1620.8 | 41.8% | 28.2% | 30.7% | 1.52–1.26 |
| Nice | 1582.4 | 46.4% | 27.7% | 35.0% | 1.62–1.16 |
| Le Havre | 1580.1 | 46.6% | 27.6% | 35.2% | 1.62–1.16 |
| Angers | 1547.5 | 50.6% | 26.9% | 39.0% | 1.70–1.08 |
| Troyes | 1521.1 | 53.7% | 26.2% | 42.0% | 1.77–1.01 |
| Le Mans | 1492.4 | 57.2% | 25.3% | 45.5% | 1.84–0.94 |
Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →
