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La Liga table 2026-27

The predicted final table — where each club is most likely to finish, from 5,000 simulated seasons. Projected points are the average across every simulation; the range shows the 10th-to-90th percentile. Once the season kicks off in August this page shows the live standings alongside the projection.

Predicted table · updated Jul 21, 2026 · ClubElo ratings → Dixon-Coles → 5,000 simulations

#	Club	Proj. Pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Rel.
1	Barcelona	86	77–94	61.7%	>99%	—
2	Real Madrid	82	73–91	34.2%	99.4%	—
3	Atletico	71	61–80	3.5%	82.6%	—
4	Villarreal	61	52–72	0.3%	38.3%	0.2%
5	Betis	60	50–70	0.2%	29.7%	0.4%
6	Rayo Vallecano	55	45–65	—	12.1%	1.6%
7	Celta	54	44–64	—	9.8%	2.5%
8	Valencia	53	43–63	—	8.6%	2.3%
9	Bilbao	51	41–61	—	4.9%	5.4%
10	Sociedad	50	40–60	—	4.1%	6.1%
11	Getafe	49	39–59	—	3.4%	7.9%
12	Osasuna	47	37–57	—	2.2%	11.5%
13	Levante	46	36–56	—	1.4%	14.3%
14	Alaves	45	36–55	—	1.0%	15.8%
15	Espanyol	45	35–54	—	1.0%	17.8%
16	Sevilla	44	34–54	—	0.6%	20.9%
17	Elche	44	34–54	—	0.8%	21.5%
18	Santander	38	29–48	—	—	47.9%
19	Malaga	37	27–46	—	—	54.2%
20	Depor	34	25–44	—	—	69.7%

Champions League (top 4) European places (5–6) Relegation (bottom 3)

Projected points are means over 5,000 Monte Carlo seasons from current ClubElo ratings; a club can finish well outside this order in any single season. This is a forecast, not a result — see the public track record and methodology. Data reusable under CC BY 4.0.