Malaga
La Liga · forecast 19th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1568.6 · title — · top 4 — · relegation 54.2% · expected points 37 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Atletico
Real MadridThe squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
Chupe
Víctor García
Eneko Jauregi
H. Abaida
D. Brašanac
Andrés Céspedes
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full La Liga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1951.6 | 6.7% | 18.6% | 2.6% | 0.56–2.23 |
| Real Madrid | 1922.9 | 8.4% | 20.0% | 3.6% | 0.63–2.15 |
| Atletico | 1827.7 | 15.0% | 24.3% | 8.2% | 0.86–1.92 |
| Villarreal | 1759.3 | 20.9% | 26.5% | 12.8% | 1.04–1.75 |
| Betis | 1747.1 | 22.1% | 26.8% | 13.7% | 1.07–1.72 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1707.3 | 26.0% | 27.7% | 16.9% | 1.17–1.62 |
| Celta | 1700.8 | 26.7% | 27.8% | 17.4% | 1.18–1.60 |
| Valencia | 1697.4 | 27.0% | 27.9% | 17.7% | 1.19–1.59 |
| Bilbao | 1677.9 | 29.1% | 28.1% | 19.5% | 1.24–1.54 |
| Sociedad | 1669.5 | 30.0% | 28.2% | 20.2% | 1.26–1.52 |
| Getafe | 1664.1 | 30.6% | 28.3% | 20.7% | 1.27–1.51 |
| Osasuna | 1650.3 | 32.1% | 28.4% | 22.0% | 1.31–1.47 |
| Levante | 1638.7 | 33.3% | 28.4% | 23.1% | 1.34–1.44 |
| Alaves | 1635 | 33.8% | 28.5% | 23.5% | 1.35–1.43 |
| Espanyol | 1629.5 | 34.4% | 28.5% | 24.0% | 1.36–1.42 |
| Sevilla | 1625.9 | 34.8% | 28.5% | 24.4% | 1.37–1.41 |
| Elche | 1623.4 | 35.1% | 28.5% | 24.6% | 1.38–1.41 |
| Santander | 1581.9 | 39.8% | 28.4% | 28.9% | 1.48–1.30 |
| Depor | 1546.3 | 44.0% | 28.0% | 32.8% | 1.57–1.21 |
Barcelona
Villarreal
Betis
Rayo Vallecano
Celta
Valencia
Bilbao
Sociedad
Getafe
Osasuna
Levante
Alaves
Espanyol
Sevilla
Elche
SantanderElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →