Barcelona
La Liga · forecast 1st of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1951.6 · title 61.7% · top 4 >99% · relegation — · expected points 86 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Elche
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
H. Abdelkarim
R. Bardghji
Toni Fernández
Marc Bernal
Marc Casadó
Eder Aller
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full La Liga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 1922.9 | 44.8% | 27.9% | 33.5% | 1.58–1.20 |
| Atletico | 1827.7 | 56.2% | 25.6% | 44.5% | 1.82–0.96 |
| Villarreal | 1759.3 | 64.3% | 23.0% | 52.7% | 1.99–0.79 |
| Betis | 1747.1 | 65.7% | 22.5% | 54.2% | 2.02–0.76 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1707.3 | 70.2% | 20.6% | 59.0% | 2.12–0.66 |
| Celta | 1700.8 | 71.0% | 20.3% | 59.8% | 2.14–0.64 |
| Valencia | 1697.4 | 71.3% | 20.2% | 60.2% | 2.15–0.63 |
| Bilbao | 1677.9 | 73.4% | 19.2% | 62.5% | 2.20–0.58 |
| Sociedad | 1669.5 | 74.3% | 18.7% | 63.4% | 2.22–0.56 |
| Getafe | 1664.1 | 74.9% | 18.5% | 64.1% | 2.23–0.55 |
| Osasuna | 1650.3 | 76.3% | 17.7% | 65.7% | 2.27–0.52 |
| Levante | 1638.7 | 77.5% | 17.1% | 67.0% | 2.29–0.49 |
| Alaves | 1635 | 77.9% | 16.9% | 67.4% | 2.30–0.48 |
| Espanyol | 1629.5 | 78.4% | 16.6% | 68.0% | 2.32–0.46 |
| Sevilla | 1625.9 | 78.8% | 16.4% | 68.4% | 2.33–0.45 |
| Elche | 1623.4 | 79.1% | 16.3% | 68.7% | 2.33–0.45 |
| Santander | 1581.9 | 83.0% | 14.0% | 73.3% | 2.44–0.34 |
| Malaga | 1568.6 | 84.2% | 13.2% | 74.7% | 2.47–0.31 |
| Depor | 1546.3 | 85.1% | 12.5% | 77.0% | 2.53–0.30 |
Real Madrid
Atletico
Villarreal
Betis
Celta
Valencia
Sociedad
Getafe
Osasuna
Levante
Alaves
Espanyol
Sevilla
Santander
Malaga
DeporElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →