Sevilla
La Liga · forecast 16th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1625.9 · title — · top 4 0.6% · relegation 20.9% · expected points 44 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Bilbao
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
A. Adams
A. Costa
C. Ejuke
L. Agoumé
Manu Bueno
Alberto Flores
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full La Liga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1951.6 | 10.1% | 21.4% | 4.8% | 0.70–2.08 |
| Real Madrid | 1922.9 | 12.1% | 22.7% | 6.1% | 0.77–2.01 |
| Atletico | 1827.7 | 19.9% | 26.2% | 12.0% | 1.01–1.77 |
| Villarreal | 1759.3 | 26.6% | 27.8% | 17.3% | 1.18–1.60 |
| Betis | 1747.1 | 27.8% | 28.0% | 18.4% | 1.21–1.57 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1707.3 | 32.1% | 28.4% | 22.0% | 1.31–1.47 |
| Celta | 1700.8 | 32.8% | 28.4% | 22.7% | 1.33–1.46 |
| Valencia | 1697.4 | 33.2% | 28.4% | 23.0% | 1.33–1.45 |
| Bilbao | 1677.9 | 35.4% | 28.5% | 24.9% | 1.38–1.40 |
| Sociedad | 1669.5 | 36.3% | 28.5% | 25.8% | 1.40–1.38 |
| Getafe | 1664.1 | 37.0% | 28.5% | 26.3% | 1.42–1.36 |
| Osasuna | 1650.3 | 38.5% | 28.4% | 27.7% | 1.45–1.33 |
| Levante | 1638.7 | 39.9% | 28.4% | 29.0% | 1.48–1.30 |
| Alaves | 1635 | 40.3% | 28.3% | 29.4% | 1.49–1.29 |
| Espanyol | 1629.5 | 41.0% | 28.3% | 30.0% | 1.50–1.28 |
| Elche | 1623.4 | 41.7% | 28.2% | 30.6% | 1.52–1.26 |
| Santander | 1581.9 | 46.6% | 27.6% | 35.2% | 1.62–1.16 |
| Malaga | 1568.6 | 48.2% | 27.4% | 36.7% | 1.66–1.13 |
| Depor | 1546.3 | 50.9% | 26.9% | 39.3% | 1.71–1.07 |
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Betis
Celta
Valencia
Sociedad
Getafe
Osasuna
Levante
Alaves
Espanyol
Elche
Santander
Malaga
DeporElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →