Osasuna
La Liga · forecast 12th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1650.3 · title — · top 4 2.2% · relegation 11.5% · expected points 47 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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Íñigo Arguibide

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Iker Muñoz

Aitor Fernández
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full La Liga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1951.6 | 11.8% | 22.5% | 5.9% | 0.76–2.02 |
| Real Madrid | 1922.9 | 13.9% | 23.7% | 7.4% | 0.83–1.95 |
| Atletico | 1827.7 | 22.2% | 26.9% | 13.8% | 1.07–1.71 |
| Villarreal | 1759.3 | 29.1% | 28.1% | 19.5% | 1.24–1.54 |
| Betis | 1747.1 | 30.4% | 28.3% | 20.6% | 1.27–1.51 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1707.3 | 34.8% | 28.5% | 24.4% | 1.37–1.41 |
| Celta | 1700.8 | 35.6% | 28.5% | 25.1% | 1.39–1.40 |
| Valencia | 1697.4 | 35.9% | 28.5% | 25.4% | 1.39–1.39 |
| Bilbao | 1677.9 | 38.2% | 28.5% | 27.4% | 1.44–1.34 |
| Sociedad | 1669.5 | 39.2% | 28.4% | 28.3% | 1.46–1.32 |
| Getafe | 1664.1 | 39.8% | 28.4% | 28.9% | 1.48–1.30 |
| Levante | 1638.7 | 42.8% | 28.1% | 31.6% | 1.54–1.24 |
| Alaves | 1635 | 43.2% | 28.1% | 32.0% | 1.55–1.23 |
| Espanyol | 1629.5 | 43.9% | 28.0% | 32.6% | 1.56–1.22 |
| Sevilla | 1625.9 | 44.3% | 28.0% | 33.0% | 1.57–1.21 |
| Elche | 1623.4 | 44.6% | 27.9% | 33.3% | 1.58–1.20 |
| Santander | 1581.9 | 49.6% | 27.1% | 38.0% | 1.68–1.10 |
| Malaga | 1568.6 | 51.2% | 26.8% | 39.5% | 1.72–1.06 |
| Depor | 1546.3 | 53.9% | 26.2% | 42.2% | 1.77–1.01 |
Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →
