Celta
La Liga · forecast 7th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1700.8 · title — · top 4 9.8% · relegation 2.5% · expected points 54 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model oddsThe squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
Hugo Álvarez

Iago Aspas

Pablo Durán

Andrés Antañón

H. Burcio

I. Radu
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full La Liga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1951.6 | 15.7% | 24.6% | 8.7% | 0.89–1.90 |
| Real Madrid | 1922.9 | 18.1% | 25.6% | 10.6% | 0.96–1.82 |
| Atletico | 1827.7 | 27.2% | 27.9% | 17.9% | 1.20–1.59 |
| Villarreal | 1759.3 | 34.6% | 28.5% | 24.3% | 1.37–1.42 |
| Betis | 1747.1 | 36.0% | 28.5% | 25.5% | 1.40–1.38 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1707.3 | 40.6% | 28.3% | 29.6% | 1.50–1.29 |
| Valencia | 1697.4 | 41.8% | 28.2% | 30.7% | 1.52–1.26 |
| Bilbao | 1677.9 | 44.1% | 28.0% | 32.8% | 1.57–1.21 |
| Sociedad | 1669.5 | 45.1% | 27.9% | 33.8% | 1.59–1.19 |
| Getafe | 1664.1 | 45.8% | 27.8% | 34.4% | 1.60–1.18 |
| Osasuna | 1650.3 | 47.4% | 27.5% | 36.0% | 1.64–1.14 |
| Levante | 1638.7 | 48.8% | 27.3% | 37.3% | 1.67–1.11 |
| Alaves | 1635 | 49.3% | 27.2% | 37.7% | 1.68–1.10 |
| Espanyol | 1629.5 | 49.9% | 27.1% | 38.3% | 1.69–1.09 |
| Sevilla | 1625.9 | 50.3% | 27.0% | 38.8% | 1.70–1.08 |
| Elche | 1623.4 | 50.7% | 26.9% | 39.0% | 1.71–1.08 |
| Santander | 1581.9 | 55.6% | 25.8% | 43.9% | 1.81–0.97 |
| Malaga | 1568.6 | 57.2% | 25.3% | 45.5% | 1.84–0.94 |
| Depor | 1546.3 | 59.9% | 24.5% | 48.2% | 1.90–0.88 |
Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →
