Sociedad
La Liga · forecast 10th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1669.5 · title — · top 4 4.1% · relegation 6.1% · expected points 50 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Real Madrid
Betis
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
Barrenetxea
Gorka Carrera
Dani Díaz
Ibai Aguirre
Jon Gorrotxategi
T. Folgado
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full La Liga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1951.6 | 13.2% | 23.3% | 6.9% | 0.81–1.97 |
| Real Madrid | 1922.9 | 15.5% | 24.5% | 8.6% | 0.88–1.90 |
| Atletico | 1827.7 | 24.1% | 27.3% | 15.3% | 1.12–1.66 |
| Villarreal | 1759.3 | 31.2% | 28.3% | 21.2% | 1.29–1.49 |
| Betis | 1747.1 | 32.5% | 28.4% | 22.4% | 1.32–1.46 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1707.3 | 37.0% | 28.5% | 26.4% | 1.42–1.36 |
| Celta | 1700.8 | 37.8% | 28.5% | 27.0% | 1.43–1.35 |
| Valencia | 1697.4 | 38.1% | 28.5% | 27.4% | 1.44–1.34 |
| Bilbao | 1677.9 | 40.4% | 28.3% | 29.4% | 1.49–1.29 |
| Getafe | 1664.1 | 42.0% | 28.2% | 30.9% | 1.53–1.26 |
| Osasuna | 1650.3 | 43.7% | 28.0% | 32.4% | 1.56–1.22 |
| Levante | 1638.7 | 45.1% | 27.9% | 33.7% | 1.59–1.19 |
| Alaves | 1635 | 45.5% | 27.8% | 34.1% | 1.60–1.18 |
| Espanyol | 1629.5 | 46.2% | 27.7% | 34.8% | 1.61–1.17 |
| Sevilla | 1625.9 | 46.6% | 27.6% | 35.2% | 1.62–1.16 |
| Elche | 1623.4 | 46.9% | 27.6% | 35.5% | 1.63–1.15 |
| Santander | 1581.9 | 51.9% | 26.7% | 40.2% | 1.73–1.05 |
| Malaga | 1568.6 | 53.5% | 26.3% | 41.8% | 1.76–1.02 |
| Depor | 1546.3 | 56.2% | 25.6% | 44.4% | 1.82–0.96 |
Barcelona
Atletico
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Celta
Valencia
Bilbao
Getafe
Osasuna
Levante
Alaves
Sevilla
Elche
Santander
Malaga
DeporElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →