Depor
La Liga · forecast 20th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1546.3 · title — · top 4 — · relegation 69.7% · expected points 34 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Malaga
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
Luismi Cruz
Z. Eddahchouri
Peke
Noé
José Gragera
Álvaro Fernández
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full La Liga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1951.6 | 5.6% | 17.4% | 2.3% | 0.50–2.28 |
| Real Madrid | 1922.9 | 7.1% | 18.9% | 2.8% | 0.57–2.21 |
| Atletico | 1827.7 | 13.3% | 23.4% | 7.0% | 0.81–1.97 |
| Villarreal | 1759.3 | 18.9% | 25.9% | 11.2% | 0.98–1.80 |
| Betis | 1747.1 | 20.0% | 26.2% | 12.0% | 1.01–1.77 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1707.3 | 23.8% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 1.11–1.67 |
| Celta | 1700.8 | 24.4% | 27.4% | 15.6% | 1.13–1.66 |
| Valencia | 1697.4 | 24.8% | 27.5% | 15.9% | 1.13–1.65 |
| Bilbao | 1677.9 | 26.7% | 27.8% | 17.5% | 1.18–1.60 |
| Sociedad | 1669.5 | 27.6% | 27.9% | 18.2% | 1.20–1.58 |
| Getafe | 1664.1 | 28.2% | 28.0% | 18.7% | 1.22–1.56 |
| Osasuna | 1650.3 | 29.6% | 28.2% | 19.9% | 1.25–1.53 |
| Levante | 1638.7 | 30.9% | 28.3% | 21.0% | 1.28–1.50 |
| Alaves | 1635 | 31.3% | 28.3% | 21.4% | 1.29–1.49 |
| Espanyol | 1629.5 | 31.9% | 28.4% | 21.9% | 1.30–1.48 |
| Sevilla | 1625.9 | 32.3% | 28.4% | 22.2% | 1.31–1.47 |
| Elche | 1623.4 | 32.6% | 28.4% | 22.5% | 1.32–1.46 |
| Santander | 1581.9 | 37.3% | 28.5% | 26.6% | 1.42–1.36 |
| Malaga | 1568.6 | 38.8% | 28.4% | 28.0% | 1.46–1.32 |
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico
Villarreal
Betis
Rayo Vallecano
Celta
Bilbao
Sociedad
Getafe
Osasuna
Levante
Alaves
Espanyol
Sevilla
SantanderElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →