Real Madrid
La Liga · forecast 2nd of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1922.9 · title 34.2% · top 4 99.4% · relegation — · expected points 82 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Espanyol
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
Gonzalo García
Ávaro Leiva
Franco Mastantuono
J. Bellingham
E. Camavinga
T. Courtois
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full La Liga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1951.6 | 38.1% | 28.5% | 27.3% | 1.44–1.34 |
| Atletico | 1827.7 | 52.8% | 26.5% | 41.1% | 1.75–1.03 |
| Villarreal | 1759.3 | 61.0% | 24.2% | 49.3% | 1.92–0.86 |
| Betis | 1747.1 | 62.4% | 23.7% | 50.8% | 1.95–0.83 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1707.3 | 67.0% | 22.0% | 55.5% | 2.05–0.73 |
| Celta | 1700.8 | 67.7% | 21.7% | 56.3% | 2.07–0.71 |
| Valencia | 1697.4 | 68.1% | 21.5% | 56.7% | 2.08–0.71 |
| Bilbao | 1677.9 | 70.3% | 20.6% | 59.1% | 2.13–0.66 |
| Sociedad | 1669.5 | 71.2% | 20.2% | 60.1% | 2.15–0.64 |
| Getafe | 1664.1 | 71.8% | 19.9% | 60.7% | 2.16–0.62 |
| Osasuna | 1650.3 | 73.3% | 19.2% | 62.3% | 2.19–0.59 |
| Levante | 1638.7 | 74.6% | 18.6% | 63.7% | 2.22–0.56 |
| Alaves | 1635 | 74.9% | 18.4% | 64.1% | 2.23–0.55 |
| Espanyol | 1629.5 | 75.5% | 18.2% | 64.7% | 2.25–0.54 |
| Sevilla | 1625.9 | 75.9% | 18.0% | 65.2% | 2.25–0.53 |
| Elche | 1623.4 | 76.2% | 17.8% | 65.5% | 2.26–0.52 |
| Santander | 1581.9 | 80.3% | 15.6% | 70.1% | 2.37–0.42 |
| Malaga | 1568.6 | 81.6% | 14.8% | 71.6% | 2.40–0.38 |
| Depor | 1546.3 | 83.6% | 13.6% | 74.0% | 2.45–0.33 |
Barcelona
Atletico
Villarreal
Betis
Rayo Vallecano
Celta
Valencia
Bilbao
Getafe
Osasuna
Levante
Alaves
Sevilla
Elche
Santander
DeporElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →