Alaves
La Liga · forecast 14th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1635 · title — · top 4 1.0% · relegation 15.8% · expected points 45 — 5,000 simulated seasons
Next up
2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Rayo Vallecano
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
L. Boyé
M. Díaz
A. Manas
Carles Aleñá
Antonio Blanco
R. Montero
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full La Liga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1951.6 | 10.8% | 21.8% | 5.2% | 0.72–2.06 |
| Real Madrid | 1922.9 | 12.8% | 23.1% | 6.6% | 0.79–1.99 |
| Atletico | 1827.7 | 20.7% | 26.5% | 12.6% | 1.03–1.75 |
| Villarreal | 1759.3 | 27.5% | 27.9% | 18.1% | 1.20–1.58 |
| Betis | 1747.1 | 28.8% | 28.1% | 19.2% | 1.23–1.55 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1707.3 | 33.1% | 28.4% | 22.9% | 1.33–1.45 |
| Celta | 1700.8 | 33.8% | 28.5% | 23.6% | 1.35–1.43 |
| Valencia | 1697.4 | 34.2% | 28.5% | 23.9% | 1.36–1.42 |
| Bilbao | 1677.9 | 36.4% | 28.5% | 25.8% | 1.41–1.38 |
| Sociedad | 1669.5 | 37.4% | 28.5% | 26.7% | 1.43–1.35 |
| Getafe | 1664.1 | 38.0% | 28.5% | 27.3% | 1.44–1.34 |
| Osasuna | 1650.3 | 39.6% | 28.4% | 28.7% | 1.47–1.31 |
| Levante | 1638.7 | 41.0% | 28.3% | 29.9% | 1.50–1.28 |
| Espanyol | 1629.5 | 42.0% | 28.2% | 30.9% | 1.53–1.26 |
| Sevilla | 1625.9 | 42.5% | 28.2% | 31.3% | 1.54–1.25 |
| Elche | 1623.4 | 42.8% | 28.1% | 31.6% | 1.54–1.24 |
| Santander | 1581.9 | 47.7% | 27.5% | 36.2% | 1.65–1.14 |
| Malaga | 1568.6 | 49.3% | 27.2% | 37.8% | 1.68–1.10 |
| Depor | 1546.3 | 52.0% | 26.6% | 40.4% | 1.73–1.05 |
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico
Betis
Celta
Valencia
Bilbao
Sociedad
Osasuna
Levante
Espanyol
Sevilla
Elche
Santander
Malaga
DeporElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →