Villarreal
La Liga · forecast 4th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1759.3 · title 0.3% · top 4 38.3% · relegation 0.2% · expected points 61 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Santander
Atletico
AlavesThe squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
Pau Cabanes
Hugo López
G. Mikautadze
T. Buchanan
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Diego Conde
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full La Liga table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1951.6 | 20.8% | 26.5% | 12.6% | 1.03–1.75 |
| Real Madrid | 1922.9 | 23.5% | 27.2% | 14.8% | 1.10–1.68 |
| Atletico | 1827.7 | 33.5% | 28.5% | 23.3% | 1.34–1.44 |
| Betis | 1747.1 | 42.8% | 28.1% | 31.7% | 1.54–1.24 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1707.3 | 47.6% | 27.5% | 36.1% | 1.64–1.14 |
| Celta | 1700.8 | 48.4% | 27.4% | 36.9% | 1.66–1.12 |
| Valencia | 1697.4 | 48.8% | 27.3% | 37.3% | 1.67–1.11 |
| Bilbao | 1677.9 | 51.1% | 26.8% | 39.5% | 1.72–1.07 |
| Sociedad | 1669.5 | 52.1% | 26.6% | 40.5% | 1.74–1.04 |
| Getafe | 1664.1 | 52.8% | 26.5% | 41.1% | 1.75–1.03 |
| Osasuna | 1650.3 | 54.5% | 26.1% | 42.8% | 1.79–1.00 |
| Levante | 1638.7 | 55.8% | 25.7% | 44.1% | 1.81–0.97 |
| Alaves | 1635 | 56.3% | 25.6% | 44.6% | 1.82–0.96 |
| Espanyol | 1629.5 | 57.0% | 25.4% | 45.2% | 1.84–0.94 |
| Sevilla | 1625.9 | 57.4% | 25.3% | 45.7% | 1.85–0.94 |
| Elche | 1623.4 | 57.7% | 25.2% | 46.0% | 1.85–0.93 |
| Santander | 1581.9 | 62.6% | 23.6% | 51.0% | 1.96–0.83 |
| Malaga | 1568.6 | 64.1% | 23.1% | 52.6% | 1.99–0.79 |
| Depor | 1546.3 | 66.7% | 22.1% | 55.2% | 2.04–0.74 |
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Betis
Rayo Vallecano
Celta
Valencia
Bilbao
Sociedad
Getafe
Osasuna
Levante
Espanyol
Sevilla
Elche
Malaga
DeporElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →