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Parma

Serie A · forecast 15th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1599.9 · title — · top 4 0.4% · relegation 25.3% · expected points 42 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1428–1614 · 537 rating periods · source: ClubElo

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2026-27 squad · API-Football

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N. Elphege

Attacker · #23 · 24y

D. Mikołajewski

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P. Almqvist

Midfielder · #11 · 26y

Adrián Bernabé

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G. Astaldi

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Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Inter	1888.6	12.7%	23.1%	6.6%	0.79–1.99
Roma	1793.5	20.7%	26.4%	12.6%	1.03–1.75
Napoli	1780.3	21.9%	26.8%	13.5%	1.06–1.72
Juventus	1772.3	22.7%	27.0%	14.2%	1.08–1.70
Atalanta	1763.5	23.5%	27.2%	14.8%	1.10–1.68
Como	1760	23.9%	27.3%	15.1%	1.11–1.67
Milan	1750	24.9%	27.5%	15.9%	1.14–1.64
Lazio	1703.2	29.7%	28.2%	20.0%	1.25–1.53
Bologna	1701.3	29.9%	28.2%	20.2%	1.26–1.52
Fiorentina	1670.2	33.3%	28.4%	23.1%	1.34–1.44
Udinese	1645.9	36.1%	28.5%	25.5%	1.40–1.38
Torino	1624.1	38.6%	28.4%	27.8%	1.45–1.33
Sassuolo	1622	38.8%	28.4%	28.0%	1.46–1.32
Genoa	1618.2	39.3%	28.4%	28.4%	1.47–1.31
Venezia	1598.8	41.5%	28.2%	30.5%	1.52–1.27
Cagliari	1594.3	42.1%	28.2%	30.9%	1.53–1.25
Lecce	1568	45.2%	27.8%	33.9%	1.59–1.19
Frosinone	1564.7	45.6%	27.8%	34.2%	1.60–1.18
Monza	1544	48.1%	27.4%	36.6%	1.65–1.13

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →