Milan
Serie A · forecast 7th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1750 · title 2.3% · top 4 32.1% · relegation 0.1% · expected points 62 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Torino
JuventusThe squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
M. Valletta
A. Castiello
N. Füllkrug
Y. Fofana
A. Jashari
M. Maignan
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Serie A table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 1888.6 | 26.0% | 27.7% | 16.9% | 1.17–1.62 |
| Roma | 1793.5 | 36.4% | 28.5% | 25.8% | 1.40–1.38 |
| Napoli | 1780.3 | 37.9% | 28.5% | 27.1% | 1.44–1.34 |
| Juventus | 1772.3 | 38.8% | 28.4% | 28.0% | 1.46–1.32 |
| Atalanta | 1763.5 | 39.8% | 28.4% | 28.9% | 1.48–1.30 |
| Como | 1760 | 40.2% | 28.3% | 29.3% | 1.49–1.29 |
| Lazio | 1703.2 | 47.0% | 27.6% | 35.5% | 1.63–1.15 |
| Bologna | 1701.3 | 47.2% | 27.6% | 35.7% | 1.63–1.15 |
| Fiorentina | 1670.2 | 50.9% | 26.9% | 39.3% | 1.71–1.07 |
| Udinese | 1645.9 | 53.9% | 26.2% | 42.2% | 1.77–1.01 |
| Torino | 1624.1 | 56.5% | 25.5% | 44.8% | 1.83–0.95 |
| Sassuolo | 1622 | 56.7% | 25.5% | 45.0% | 1.83–0.95 |
| Genoa | 1618.2 | 57.2% | 25.3% | 45.5% | 1.84–0.94 |
| Parma | 1599.9 | 59.4% | 24.7% | 47.7% | 1.89–0.89 |
| Venezia | 1598.8 | 59.5% | 24.7% | 47.8% | 1.89–0.89 |
| Cagliari | 1594.3 | 60.0% | 24.5% | 48.3% | 1.90–0.88 |
| Lecce | 1568 | 63.1% | 23.5% | 51.5% | 1.97–0.81 |
| Frosinone | 1564.7 | 63.5% | 23.3% | 51.9% | 1.98–0.81 |
| Monza | 1544 | 65.9% | 22.4% | 54.4% | 2.03–0.75 |
Inter
Roma
Napoli
Atalanta
Como
Lazio
Bologna
Fiorentina
Udinese
Sassuolo
Genoa
Parma
Cagliari
Lecce
Frosinone
MonzaElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →