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Atalanta

Serie A · forecast 5th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1763.5 · title 3.2% · top 4 40.7% · relegation — · expected points 64 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1726–1922 · 662 rating periods · source: ClubElo

Next up

2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

F. Cassa

Attacker · #11 · 19y

N. Krstović

Attacker · #90 · 25y

G. Raspadori

Attacker · #18 · 25y

R. Bellanova

Midfielder · #16 · 25y

L. Bernasconi

Midfielder · #47 · 22y

M. Carnesecchi

Goalkeeper · #29 · 25y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Inter	1888.6	27.4%	27.9%	18.1%	1.20–1.58
Roma	1793.5	37.9%	28.5%	27.2%	1.44–1.34
Napoli	1780.3	39.4%	28.4%	28.5%	1.47–1.31
Juventus	1772.3	40.4%	28.3%	29.4%	1.49–1.29
Como	1760	41.8%	28.2%	30.7%	1.52–1.26
Milan	1750	43.0%	28.1%	31.8%	1.55–1.24
Lazio	1703.2	48.6%	27.3%	37.1%	1.66–1.12
Bologna	1701.3	48.8%	27.3%	37.3%	1.67–1.11
Fiorentina	1670.2	52.6%	26.5%	40.9%	1.75–1.04
Udinese	1645.9	55.5%	25.8%	43.8%	1.81–0.97
Torino	1624.1	58.1%	25.1%	46.4%	1.86–0.92
Sassuolo	1622	58.3%	25.0%	46.6%	1.87–0.92
Genoa	1618.2	58.8%	24.9%	47.1%	1.88–0.91
Parma	1599.9	61.0%	24.2%	49.3%	1.92–0.86
Venezia	1598.8	61.1%	24.1%	49.4%	1.92–0.86
Cagliari	1594.3	61.6%	24.0%	50.0%	1.94–0.85
Lecce	1568	64.7%	22.9%	53.1%	2.00–0.78
Frosinone	1564.7	65.1%	22.7%	53.5%	2.01–0.77
Monza	1544	67.5%	21.8%	56.0%	2.06–0.72

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →