Fiorentina
Serie A · forecast 10th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1670.2 · title 0.2% · top 4 4.2% · relegation 4.0% · expected points 51 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Roma
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
G. Bertolini
R. Braschi
A. Guðmundsson
P. Bonanno
M. Brescianini
O. Christensen
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Serie A table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 1888.6 | 18.4% | 25.7% | 10.8% | 0.97–1.81 |
| Roma | 1793.5 | 27.6% | 27.9% | 18.2% | 1.20–1.58 |
| Napoli | 1780.3 | 29.0% | 28.1% | 19.4% | 1.24–1.54 |
| Juventus | 1772.3 | 29.8% | 28.2% | 20.1% | 1.26–1.52 |
| Atalanta | 1763.5 | 30.8% | 28.3% | 20.9% | 1.28–1.50 |
| Como | 1760 | 31.2% | 28.3% | 21.2% | 1.29–1.49 |
| Milan | 1750 | 32.3% | 28.4% | 22.2% | 1.31–1.47 |
| Lazio | 1703.2 | 37.6% | 28.5% | 26.9% | 1.43–1.35 |
| Bologna | 1701.3 | 37.8% | 28.5% | 27.0% | 1.43–1.35 |
| Udinese | 1645.9 | 44.3% | 28.0% | 33.0% | 1.57–1.21 |
| Torino | 1624.1 | 46.9% | 27.6% | 35.5% | 1.63–1.15 |
| Sassuolo | 1622 | 47.1% | 27.6% | 35.7% | 1.63–1.15 |
| Genoa | 1618.2 | 47.6% | 27.5% | 36.1% | 1.64–1.14 |
| Parma | 1599.9 | 49.8% | 27.1% | 38.2% | 1.69–1.09 |
| Venezia | 1598.8 | 49.9% | 27.1% | 38.4% | 1.69–1.09 |
| Cagliari | 1594.3 | 50.5% | 27.0% | 38.9% | 1.70–1.08 |
| Lecce | 1568 | 53.6% | 26.3% | 42.0% | 1.77–1.01 |
| Frosinone | 1564.7 | 54.0% | 26.2% | 42.3% | 1.78–1.01 |
| Monza | 1544 | 56.5% | 25.5% | 44.8% | 1.83–0.95 |
Inter
Napoli
Juventus
Atalanta
Como
Milan
Lazio
Bologna
Udinese
Sassuolo
Genoa
Parma
Venezia
Cagliari
Lecce
MonzaElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →