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Monza

Serie A · forecast 20th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1544 · title — · top 4 — · relegation 62.0% · expected points 35 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1385–1688 · 563 rating periods · source: ClubElo

Next up

2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

A. Álvarez

Attacker · #25 · 24y

K. Baldé

Attacker · #17 · 30y

G. Caso

Attacker · #30 · 27y

N. Ballabio

Midfielder · #24 · 17y

L. Colombo

Midfielder · #21 · 20y

S. Pizzignacco

Goalkeeper · #1 · 24y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Inter	1888.6	8.9%	20.5%	4.0%	0.65–2.13
Roma	1793.5	15.8%	24.6%	8.8%	0.89–1.89
Napoli	1780.3	16.9%	25.1%	9.6%	0.92–1.86
Juventus	1772.3	17.6%	25.4%	10.1%	0.94–1.84
Atalanta	1763.5	18.3%	25.7%	10.7%	0.96–1.82
Como	1760	18.6%	25.8%	11.0%	0.97–1.81
Milan	1750	19.5%	26.1%	11.7%	1.00–1.78
Lazio	1703.2	24.0%	27.3%	15.2%	1.11–1.67
Bologna	1701.3	24.1%	27.3%	15.3%	1.12–1.66
Fiorentina	1670.2	27.3%	27.9%	18.0%	1.20–1.58
Udinese	1645.9	29.9%	28.2%	20.1%	1.26–1.52
Torino	1624.1	32.2%	28.4%	22.2%	1.31–1.47
Sassuolo	1622	32.5%	28.4%	22.4%	1.32–1.46
Genoa	1618.2	32.9%	28.4%	22.7%	1.33–1.45
Parma	1599.9	34.9%	28.5%	24.5%	1.37–1.41
Venezia	1598.8	35.1%	28.5%	24.6%	1.38–1.41
Cagliari	1594.3	35.6%	28.5%	25.1%	1.39–1.39
Lecce	1568	38.6%	28.4%	27.8%	1.45–1.33
Frosinone	1564.7	39.0%	28.4%	28.1%	1.46–1.32

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →