Bologna
Serie A · forecast 9th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1701.3 · title 0.3% · top 4 11.1% · relegation 1.2% · expected points 56 — 5,000 simulated seasons
Next up
2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Atalanta
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
F. Bernardeschi
N. Cambiaghi
F. Castaldo
L. Ferguson
R. Freuler
Matteo Franceschelli
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Serie A table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 1888.6 | 21.2% | 26.6% | 13.0% | 1.04–1.74 |
| Roma | 1793.5 | 30.9% | 28.3% | 21.0% | 1.28–1.50 |
| Napoli | 1780.3 | 32.4% | 28.4% | 22.3% | 1.32–1.47 |
| Juventus | 1772.3 | 33.2% | 28.4% | 23.0% | 1.34–1.45 |
| Atalanta | 1763.5 | 34.2% | 28.5% | 23.9% | 1.36–1.42 |
| Como | 1760 | 34.6% | 28.5% | 24.3% | 1.37–1.42 |
| Milan | 1750 | 35.8% | 28.5% | 25.3% | 1.39–1.39 |
| Lazio | 1703.2 | 41.2% | 28.3% | 30.1% | 1.51–1.27 |
| Fiorentina | 1670.2 | 45.1% | 27.9% | 33.8% | 1.59–1.19 |
| Udinese | 1645.9 | 48.0% | 27.4% | 36.5% | 1.65–1.13 |
| Torino | 1624.1 | 50.6% | 26.9% | 39.0% | 1.71–1.08 |
| Sassuolo | 1622 | 50.9% | 26.9% | 39.3% | 1.71–1.07 |
| Genoa | 1618.2 | 51.3% | 26.8% | 39.7% | 1.72–1.06 |
| Parma | 1599.9 | 53.5% | 26.3% | 41.9% | 1.77–1.02 |
| Venezia | 1598.8 | 53.7% | 26.3% | 42.0% | 1.77–1.01 |
| Cagliari | 1594.3 | 54.2% | 26.1% | 42.5% | 1.78–1.00 |
| Lecce | 1568 | 57.4% | 25.3% | 45.7% | 1.85–0.94 |
| Frosinone | 1564.7 | 57.8% | 25.2% | 46.0% | 1.85–0.93 |
| Monza | 1544 | 60.2% | 24.4% | 48.5% | 1.91–0.88 |
Inter
Roma
Napoli
Juventus
Como
Milan
Fiorentina
Udinese
Torino
Genoa
Parma
Venezia
Cagliari
Lecce
Frosinone
MonzaElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →