Lazio
Serie A · forecast 8th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1703.2 · title 0.6% · top 4 11.8% · relegation 1.2% · expected points 56 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Bologna
UdineseThe squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
M. Cancellieri
B. Dia
S. Fernandes
T. Bašić
R. Belahyane
A. Furlanetto
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Serie A table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 1888.6 | 21.4% | 26.7% | 13.2% | 1.05–1.73 |
| Roma | 1793.5 | 31.1% | 28.3% | 21.2% | 1.29–1.49 |
| Napoli | 1780.3 | 32.6% | 28.4% | 22.5% | 1.32–1.46 |
| Juventus | 1772.3 | 33.5% | 28.5% | 23.2% | 1.34–1.44 |
| Atalanta | 1763.5 | 34.4% | 28.5% | 24.1% | 1.36–1.42 |
| Como | 1760 | 34.8% | 28.5% | 24.4% | 1.37–1.41 |
| Milan | 1750 | 36.0% | 28.5% | 25.4% | 1.40–1.39 |
| Bologna | 1701.3 | 41.6% | 28.2% | 30.5% | 1.52–1.26 |
| Fiorentina | 1670.2 | 45.3% | 27.8% | 34.0% | 1.60–1.19 |
| Udinese | 1645.9 | 48.2% | 27.4% | 36.7% | 1.66–1.13 |
| Torino | 1624.1 | 50.9% | 26.9% | 39.2% | 1.71–1.07 |
| Sassuolo | 1622 | 51.1% | 26.8% | 39.5% | 1.72–1.07 |
| Genoa | 1618.2 | 51.6% | 26.7% | 39.9% | 1.73–1.06 |
| Parma | 1599.9 | 53.8% | 26.2% | 42.1% | 1.77–1.01 |
| Venezia | 1598.8 | 53.9% | 26.2% | 42.2% | 1.77–1.01 |
| Cagliari | 1594.3 | 54.4% | 26.1% | 42.7% | 1.78–1.00 |
| Lecce | 1568 | 57.6% | 25.2% | 45.9% | 1.85–0.93 |
| Frosinone | 1564.7 | 58.0% | 25.1% | 46.3% | 1.86–0.92 |
| Monza | 1544 | 60.5% | 24.4% | 48.8% | 1.91–0.87 |
Inter
Roma
Napoli
Juventus
Atalanta
Como
Milan
Fiorentina
Torino
Sassuolo
Parma
Venezia
Cagliari
Lecce
Frosinone
MonzaElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →