Genoa
Serie A · forecast 14th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1618.2 · title — · top 4 0.4% · relegation 17.8% · expected points 45 — 5,000 simulated seasons
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2026-27 fixtures · model odds
Lazio
The squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
L. Colombo
M. Cornet
J. Ekhator
Alexsandro Amorim
T. Baldanzi
J. Bijlow
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Serie A table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 1888.6 | 14.1% | 23.8% | 7.6% | 0.84–1.94 |
| Roma | 1793.5 | 22.4% | 26.9% | 13.9% | 1.07–1.71 |
| Napoli | 1780.3 | 23.7% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 1.11–1.67 |
| Juventus | 1772.3 | 24.5% | 27.4% | 15.6% | 1.13–1.65 |
| Atalanta | 1763.5 | 25.3% | 27.6% | 16.3% | 1.15–1.63 |
| Como | 1760 | 25.7% | 27.6% | 16.6% | 1.16–1.62 |
| Milan | 1750 | 26.7% | 27.8% | 17.5% | 1.18–1.60 |
| Lazio | 1703.2 | 31.7% | 28.4% | 21.7% | 1.30–1.48 |
| Bologna | 1701.3 | 31.9% | 28.4% | 21.9% | 1.30–1.48 |
| Fiorentina | 1670.2 | 35.4% | 28.5% | 24.9% | 1.38–1.40 |
| Udinese | 1645.9 | 38.2% | 28.5% | 27.4% | 1.44–1.34 |
| Torino | 1624.1 | 40.7% | 28.3% | 29.7% | 1.50–1.28 |
| Sassuolo | 1622 | 41.0% | 28.3% | 29.9% | 1.50–1.28 |
| Parma | 1599.9 | 43.6% | 28.0% | 32.3% | 1.56–1.22 |
| Venezia | 1598.8 | 43.7% | 28.0% | 32.5% | 1.56–1.22 |
| Cagliari | 1594.3 | 44.2% | 28.0% | 33.0% | 1.57–1.21 |
| Lecce | 1568 | 47.4% | 27.5% | 35.9% | 1.64–1.14 |
| Frosinone | 1564.7 | 47.8% | 27.5% | 36.3% | 1.65–1.14 |
| Monza | 1544 | 50.3% | 27.0% | 38.7% | 1.70–1.08 |
Inter
Roma
Juventus
Atalanta
Milan
Bologna
Fiorentina
Udinese
Torino
Sassuolo
Parma
Venezia
Cagliari
Lecce
Frosinone
MonzaElo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →