Sassuolo
Serie A · forecast 13th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026
Elo 1622 · title — · top 4 0.8% · relegation 15.7% · expected points 45 — 5,000 simulated seasons
Next up
2026-27 fixtures · model oddsThe squad's spine
2026-27 squad · API-Football
D. Berardi

A. Fadera

L. Moro

N. Baffoh

D. Bakola

A. Murić
2026-27, opponent by opponent
Full Serie A table →| Opponent | Elo | Win at home | Draw | Win away | xG (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 1888.6 | 14.4% | 24.0% | 7.8% | 0.85–1.94 |
| Roma | 1793.5 | 22.8% | 27.0% | 14.2% | 1.08–1.70 |
| Napoli | 1780.3 | 24.0% | 27.3% | 15.3% | 1.12–1.66 |
| Juventus | 1772.3 | 24.8% | 27.5% | 15.9% | 1.14–1.64 |
| Atalanta | 1763.5 | 25.7% | 27.6% | 16.6% | 1.16–1.62 |
| Como | 1760 | 26.1% | 27.7% | 16.9% | 1.17–1.61 |
| Milan | 1750 | 27.1% | 27.9% | 17.8% | 1.19–1.59 |
| Lazio | 1703.2 | 32.1% | 28.4% | 22.1% | 1.31–1.47 |
| Bologna | 1701.3 | 32.3% | 28.4% | 22.2% | 1.31–1.47 |
| Fiorentina | 1670.2 | 35.8% | 28.5% | 25.3% | 1.39–1.39 |
| Udinese | 1645.9 | 38.6% | 28.4% | 27.8% | 1.45–1.33 |
| Torino | 1624.1 | 41.2% | 28.3% | 30.1% | 1.51–1.27 |
| Genoa | 1618.2 | 41.8% | 28.2% | 30.8% | 1.52–1.26 |
| Parma | 1599.9 | 44.0% | 28.0% | 32.8% | 1.57–1.21 |
| Venezia | 1598.8 | 44.1% | 28.0% | 32.9% | 1.57–1.21 |
| Cagliari | 1594.3 | 44.7% | 27.9% | 33.4% | 1.58–1.20 |
| Lecce | 1568 | 47.8% | 27.4% | 36.4% | 1.65–1.13 |
| Frosinone | 1564.7 | 48.2% | 27.4% | 36.7% | 1.66–1.13 |
| Monza | 1544 | 50.7% | 26.9% | 39.1% | 1.71–1.07 |
Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →
