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Venezia

Serie A · forecast 16th of 20 · updated Jul 21, 2026

Elo 1598.8 · title — · top 4 0.2% · relegation 27.6% · expected points 42 — 5,000 simulated seasons

Elo rating since 2020range 1373–1601 · 512 rating periods · source: ClubElo

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2026-27 fixtures · model odds

2026-27 squad · API-Football

A. Adorante

Attacker · #9 · 25y

Antonio Casas

Attacker · #80 · 25y

M. Compagnon

Attacker · #21 · 24y

B. Bjarkason

Midfielder · #19 · 25y

E. Bohinen

Midfielder · #37 · 26y

M. Grandi

Goalkeeper · #23 · 33y

Opponent	Elo	Win at home	Draw	Win away	xG (home)
Inter	1888.6	12.6%	23.0%	6.5%	0.79–1.99
Roma	1793.5	20.6%	26.4%	12.5%	1.03–1.76
Napoli	1780.3	21.8%	26.8%	13.5%	1.06–1.72
Juventus	1772.3	22.6%	27.0%	14.1%	1.08–1.70
Atalanta	1763.5	23.4%	27.2%	14.8%	1.10–1.68
Como	1760	23.8%	27.2%	15.0%	1.11–1.67
Milan	1750	24.7%	27.5%	15.8%	1.13–1.65
Lazio	1703.2	29.6%	28.2%	19.9%	1.25–1.53
Bologna	1701.3	29.8%	28.2%	20.1%	1.26–1.53
Fiorentina	1670.2	33.2%	28.4%	23.0%	1.33–1.45
Udinese	1645.9	35.9%	28.5%	25.4%	1.39–1.39
Torino	1624.1	38.4%	28.4%	27.7%	1.45–1.33
Sassuolo	1622	38.7%	28.4%	27.9%	1.45–1.33
Genoa	1618.2	39.1%	28.4%	28.3%	1.46–1.32
Parma	1599.9	41.3%	28.3%	30.2%	1.51–1.27
Cagliari	1594.3	41.9%	28.2%	30.8%	1.52–1.26
Lecce	1568	45.1%	27.9%	33.7%	1.59–1.19
Frosinone	1564.7	45.4%	27.8%	34.1%	1.60–1.18
Monza	1544	47.9%	27.4%	36.4%	1.65–1.13

Elo difference → expected goals → Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. Home advantage +65 Elo. Method →